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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Azerbaijan's President Claims Russian Forces Unintentionally Shot Down Jetliner


In a recent statement, Azerbaijan's President Ilham Aliyev announced that the Azerbaijani airliner which crashed last week was unintentionally shot down by Russian forces. The tragic incident occurred over Russian airspace, resulting in the death of 38 out of 67 passengers on board.

President Aliyev told state television that the aircraft was hit by ground fire and rendered uncontrollable due to electronic warfare. He emphasized that the crash was not deliberate but criticized Russia for attempting to cover up the incident for several days.

The Kremlin confirmed that Russian air defense systems were active near Grozny, Chechnya, to counter a Ukrainian drone strike at the time of the crash. Russian President Vladimir Putin has since apologized to Aliyev, calling it a "tragic incident" but stopped short of admitting responsibility.

Aliyev has demanded an official apology, admission of guilt, and compensation for the victims and their families. The international community continues to monitor the situation closely as investigations proceed.



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