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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Azerbaijan's President Claims Russian Forces Unintentionally Shot Down Jetliner


In a recent statement, Azerbaijan's President Ilham Aliyev announced that the Azerbaijani airliner which crashed last week was unintentionally shot down by Russian forces. The tragic incident occurred over Russian airspace, resulting in the death of 38 out of 67 passengers on board.

President Aliyev told state television that the aircraft was hit by ground fire and rendered uncontrollable due to electronic warfare. He emphasized that the crash was not deliberate but criticized Russia for attempting to cover up the incident for several days.

The Kremlin confirmed that Russian air defense systems were active near Grozny, Chechnya, to counter a Ukrainian drone strike at the time of the crash. Russian President Vladimir Putin has since apologized to Aliyev, calling it a "tragic incident" but stopped short of admitting responsibility.

Aliyev has demanded an official apology, admission of guilt, and compensation for the victims and their families. The international community continues to monitor the situation closely as investigations proceed.



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