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5 Things to Know Today: US Inflation Day, Canada’s Job Losses and Oil Near $106 | Oct. 14, 2026

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Wednesday, October 14, 2026 Good morning. The biggest number of the day lands at 8:30 a.m. ET, and it could shape where mortgage rates and the loonie go next. Here are the five things worth knowing before you start your day. 1 US inflation report lands at 8:30 a.m. ET September U.S. CPI is the last major inflation reading before the Fed meets Oct. 27–28. Economists expect headline inflation to climb to roughly 3.6%–3.7% from 3.4% in August, a gasoline-driven jump of about 0.6% on the month, while core inflation is seen cooling to around 0.2% month over month. The Fed raised its target range to 3.75%–4.00% on Sept. 16, but September payrolls added just 29,000 jobs, and markets now see roughly a one-in-four chance of another hike in October, with December still largely priced in. What it means for you: A hotter-than-expected print can push bond yields higher, and Canadian fixed mortgage rates follow the 5-year bond. A cooler one eases the pressu...

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Azerbaijan's President Claims Russian Forces Unintentionally Shot Down Jetliner


In a recent statement, Azerbaijan's President Ilham Aliyev announced that the Azerbaijani airliner which crashed last week was unintentionally shot down by Russian forces. The tragic incident occurred over Russian airspace, resulting in the death of 38 out of 67 passengers on board.

President Aliyev told state television that the aircraft was hit by ground fire and rendered uncontrollable due to electronic warfare. He emphasized that the crash was not deliberate but criticized Russia for attempting to cover up the incident for several days.

The Kremlin confirmed that Russian air defense systems were active near Grozny, Chechnya, to counter a Ukrainian drone strike at the time of the crash. Russian President Vladimir Putin has since apologized to Aliyev, calling it a "tragic incident" but stopped short of admitting responsibility.

Aliyev has demanded an official apology, admission of guilt, and compensation for the victims and their families. The international community continues to monitor the situation closely as investigations proceed.



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