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5 Things to Know Today: US Inflation Day, Canada’s Job Losses and Oil Near $106 | Oct. 14, 2026

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Wednesday, October 14, 2026 Good morning. The biggest number of the day lands at 8:30 a.m. ET, and it could shape where mortgage rates and the loonie go next. Here are the five things worth knowing before you start your day. 1 US inflation report lands at 8:30 a.m. ET September U.S. CPI is the last major inflation reading before the Fed meets Oct. 27–28. Economists expect headline inflation to climb to roughly 3.6%–3.7% from 3.4% in August, a gasoline-driven jump of about 0.6% on the month, while core inflation is seen cooling to around 0.2% month over month. The Fed raised its target range to 3.75%–4.00% on Sept. 16, but September payrolls added just 29,000 jobs, and markets now see roughly a one-in-four chance of another hike in October, with December still largely priced in. What it means for you: A hotter-than-expected print can push bond yields higher, and Canadian fixed mortgage rates follow the 5-year bond. A cooler one eases the pressu...
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Freeland's Exit and Economic Woes: Canada Faces $61.9 Billion Deficit

In a dramatic turn of events, the Canadian government unveiled its fall economic update on Monday, revealing a staggering $61.9 billion deficit for the last fiscal year. The announcement was overshadowed by the abrupt resignation of Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland, who stepped down just hours before she was scheduled to present the update.

Freeland's resignation letter, posted on social media, cited irreconcilable differences with Prime Minister Justin Trudeau over the country's economic direction. She criticized the government's "costly political gimmicks" and urged Trudeau to work collaboratively with provincial leaders to address the looming threat of tariffs from U.S. President-elect Donald Trump.

The economic update, tabled by Government House Leader Karina Gould, includes over $20 billion in new spending and a $1.3 billion border security package aimed at countering Trump's tariff threats. The document also highlights the government's GST holiday, which took effect on Saturday and is expected to cost $1.6 billion.

Freeland's departure has sparked calls for Trudeau's resignation and raised questions about the future of Canada's economic policy. Public Safety Minister Dominic LeBlanc has been sworn in as the new finance minister, tasked with navigating the country through these turbulent times.



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