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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Israel Detains Director of Northern Gaza's Last Operating Hospital Amid Ongoing Conflict

In a dramatic escalation of the ongoing conflict, Israeli forces detained Dr. Hussam Abu Safiya, the director of Kamal Adwan Hospital, one of the last functioning medical facilities in northern Gaza. The arrest comes amid a series of overnight strikes that killed nine people, including children.

According to Gaza's Health Ministry, Israeli troops stormed the hospital on Friday, forcing staff and patients to evacuate in harsh winter conditions. Reports indicate that Dr. Abu Safiya and dozens of other hospital staff were taken to an interrogation center. The Israeli army has not responded to questions regarding the detention.

The hospital, which has been repeatedly targeted over the past three months, has seen its infrastructure severely damaged. The Health Ministry reported that a recent strike killed five medical personnel, further crippling the already strained healthcare system in Gaza.

The World Health Organization has condemned the raid, stating that it has put the last major health facility in northern Gaza out of service. The organization has called for an immediate ceasefire and the protection of healthcare facilities and personnel.

The conflict continues to escalate, with both sides suffering significant casualties. The international community has expressed growing concern over the humanitarian crisis unfolding in Gaza.



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