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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Missile Fire from Yemen's Houthi Rebels Triggers Sirens in Central Israel for the Second Night

 


For the second consecutive night, air raid sirens blared across central Israel as a missile launched from Yemen's Houthi rebels was intercepted by Israeli air defenses early Wednesday morning. The missile, aimed at the Tel Aviv area, was successfully intercepted before crossing into Israeli territory, though shrapnel from the interception fell in several towns. 

This marks the fourth time in a week that missile fire from the Houthi rebels has set off sirens in Israel. On Saturday, a missile hit a playground in Tel Aviv, injuring 16 people after Israel's air defense system failed to intercept it. In response, Israeli jets struck Yemen's rebel-held capital and a port city, resulting in nine casualties. 

Israel's foreign minister has requested an emergency meeting of the U.N. Security Council to condemn the Houthi attacks and their alleged Iranian allies for providing the rebels with weapons. The situation remains tense as both sides continue to exchange fire, with the Houthis launching missiles in solidarity 

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