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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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NATO Urges Thorough Probe into Azerbaijan Airlines Crash

 

 NATO has called for a comprehensive investigation into the tragic crash of an Azerbaijan Airlines flight that killed 38 people near Aktau, Kazakhstan. The incident occurred on December 25, 2024, when an Embraer 190 aircraft, en route from Baku to Grozny, crashed shortly after diverting from an area in Russia.

NATO spokesperson Farah Dakhlallah expressed condolences, saying, "Our thoughts and prayers are with the families and victims of Azerbaijan Airlines flight J28243. We wish those injured in the crash a speedy recovery and call for a full investigation." The crash has left 29 survivors, with many hospitalized and receiving medical care.

The cause of the crash remains unknown, and Kazakh authorities have declared December 26 a day of mourning in Azerbaijan. NATO's call for a thorough investigation underscores the need for clarity and accountability in the wake of this devastating event.



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