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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...

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NATO Urges Thorough Probe into Azerbaijan Airlines Crash

 

 NATO has called for a comprehensive investigation into the tragic crash of an Azerbaijan Airlines flight that killed 38 people near Aktau, Kazakhstan. The incident occurred on December 25, 2024, when an Embraer 190 aircraft, en route from Baku to Grozny, crashed shortly after diverting from an area in Russia.

NATO spokesperson Farah Dakhlallah expressed condolences, saying, "Our thoughts and prayers are with the families and victims of Azerbaijan Airlines flight J28243. We wish those injured in the crash a speedy recovery and call for a full investigation." The crash has left 29 survivors, with many hospitalized and receiving medical care.

The cause of the crash remains unknown, and Kazakh authorities have declared December 26 a day of mourning in Azerbaijan. NATO's call for a thorough investigation underscores the need for clarity and accountability in the wake of this devastating event.



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