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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Rocket from Yemen Strikes Tel Aviv, Injuring 16, as Palestinians Mourn 19 Dead in Gaza

 

In the early hours of Saturday, a rocket fired from Yemen struck an area of Tel Aviv, leaving 16 people injured by shattered glass from nearby windows. The Israeli military reported that an additional 14 people sustained minor injuries as they rushed to shelters when air raid sirens sounded before the projectile hit. This attack comes less than two days after a series of Israeli airstrikes on Yemen's Houthi rebel-held capital, Sanaa, and the port city of Hodeida, which killed at least nine people.

The Houthis, an Iran-backed group in Yemen, have launched more than 200 missiles and drones during the ongoing Israel-Hamas war in Gaza. The Houthis have also been attacking shipping in the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden, stating that these attacks will not cease until there is a ceasefire in Gaza.

Meanwhile, in Gaza, mourners held funerals for 19 people, including 12 children, who were killed in separate Israeli strikes on Friday and overnight. One of the strikes hit a residential building in the Nuseirat refugee camp in central Gaza, killing at least seven Palestinians, including five children and one woman, and injuring 16 others. Another strike in Gaza City killed 12 people, including seven children and two women. Gaza's Health Ministry reported that 21 people had been killed over the past 24 hours.

The escalating violence has drawn international concern, with U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres warning that both sides' attacks risk further escalation in the region and undermine U.N. mediation efforts. The situation remains tense as both sides continue to exchange fire, causing significant civilian casualties and damage.




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