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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Rocket from Yemen Strikes Tel Aviv, Injuring 16, as Palestinians Mourn 19 Dead in Gaza

 

In the early hours of Saturday, a rocket fired from Yemen struck an area of Tel Aviv, leaving 16 people injured by shattered glass from nearby windows. The Israeli military reported that an additional 14 people sustained minor injuries as they rushed to shelters when air raid sirens sounded before the projectile hit. This attack comes less than two days after a series of Israeli airstrikes on Yemen's Houthi rebel-held capital, Sanaa, and the port city of Hodeida, which killed at least nine people.

The Houthis, an Iran-backed group in Yemen, have launched more than 200 missiles and drones during the ongoing Israel-Hamas war in Gaza. The Houthis have also been attacking shipping in the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden, stating that these attacks will not cease until there is a ceasefire in Gaza.

Meanwhile, in Gaza, mourners held funerals for 19 people, including 12 children, who were killed in separate Israeli strikes on Friday and overnight. One of the strikes hit a residential building in the Nuseirat refugee camp in central Gaza, killing at least seven Palestinians, including five children and one woman, and injuring 16 others. Another strike in Gaza City killed 12 people, including seven children and two women. Gaza's Health Ministry reported that 21 people had been killed over the past 24 hours.

The escalating violence has drawn international concern, with U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres warning that both sides' attacks risk further escalation in the region and undermine U.N. mediation efforts. The situation remains tense as both sides continue to exchange fire, causing significant civilian casualties and damage.




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