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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Russian Missile and Drone Attack Strikes Multiple Targets in Ukraine, Including Kyiv


In the early hours of Tuesday, Russia launched a significant aerial attack on Ukraine, targeting the capital city of Kyiv and several other regions with a barrage of missiles and drones. The Ukrainian air force reported a ballistic missile threat at 3:00 a.m., followed by at least two explosions in Kyiv minutes later. Another missile alert was issued at 8:00 a.m., with at least one explosion reported in the city.

Missile debris fell in the Darnytskyi district of Kyiv, but there were no immediate reports of casualties or damage. In the northeastern Sumy region, authorities reported strikes near the city of Shostka, where 12 residential buildings and two educational facilities were damaged. The Russian Defense Ministry claimed that its forces successfully struck a Ukrainian air base and a gunpowder factory.

The nearly three-year conflict has seen significant destruction of Ukraine's energy infrastructure, leading to widespread rolling electricity blackouts. Despite the provision of air defense systems by Kyiv's Western allies, Russia has continued to overwhelm Ukraine's defenses with combined strikes involving large numbers of missiles and drones.

As the conflict continues, uncertainty looms over its future course, especially with U.S. President-elect Donald Trump set to take office next month. President Joe Biden recently announced an additional $2.5 billion in weapons aid to Ukraine, aiming to bolster Kyiv's defenses before the transition of power.

The situation remains tense as both sides continue to engage in aerial and ground attacks, with no clear resolution in sight.

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