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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Severe Blizzard Conditions Persist in Ontario: Travel Advisory in Effect


Ontario continues to grapple with severe blizzard conditions, leading to widespread highway closures and hazardous travel conditions. Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) has issued blizzard warnings for several areas surrounding Lake Huron, including Owen Sound, Blue Mountains, and Saugeen Shores. 

The blizzard conditions are accompanied by strong, gusty winds, with speeds reaching up to 80 km/h, causing significant blowing snow and reduced visibility. The hardest-hit regions could see accumulations of 30-50 cm of snow, making travel extremely treacherous. 

Highway 21, from Ashfield to Southampton, has been closed due to poor conditions and a reported incident. Other affected highways include 10, 26, and parts of the 400, with potential bursts of snow reaching the northern Greater Toronto Area (GTA) and parts of the 401. 

ECCC advises against non-essential travel and urges those who must travel to keep others informed of their schedule and destination, carry an emergency kit, and stay updated on weather warnings. 

Stay safe and stay informed as conditions continue to deteriorate in Ontario's snowbelt regions.




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