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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Stock Market Stumbles Post-Christmas as Investors Eye Jobs Data

                                        

U.S. stock futures fell Thursday as trading resumed after the Christmas holiday, with Wall Street bracing for the release of weekly jobless claims data. Futures tied to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq declined by 0.3%, while Dow Jones Industrial Average futures dropped 0.4%.

The market's struggle to extend the "Santa Claus rally" saw major indexes like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq nearing record highs after recovering from a Fed-fueled dip last week. Investors are now keenly awaiting the jobless claims report, which has taken on greater significance in the absence of other economic data this week.



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