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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Stock Market Today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq Futures Signal Rebound from Fed-Fueled Rout

                                          

U.S. stock futures indicated a rebound Thursday morning following a significant sell-off triggered by the Federal Reserve's latest interest rate decision. Futures tied to the S&P 500 rose by 0.5%, while those for the tech-heavy Nasdaq climbed 0.6%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures also saw a 0.5% increase.

The Federal Reserve's decision to scale back the number of anticipated rate cuts next year to two, coupled with Chair Jerome Powell's cautious remarks, led markets to interpret the move as a "hawkish cut," resulting in steep declines for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. The Dow, meanwhile, is experiencing its longest losing streak in 50 years.

Despite the recent downturn, the Dow remains up over 12% for the year. On the economic front, the third estimate for third-quarter U.S. GDP showed a growth rate of 3.1%, surpassing earlier estimates. Additionally, weekly unemployment claims fell to 220,000, down from 242,000 the previous week.

Investors are now closely watching the market's response to these developments, hoping for a rebound in the coming days.




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