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BoC Held Again at 2.25% — But a Rate Hike Is Now More Likely Than Not Before Year-End

  Bond markets put the odds of an October 28 hike at 57%. Here's what the big banks are forecasting, what it means for your mortgage payment, and how to think about your next move. MoneySavings.ca · September 17, 2026 The Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate at 2.25% on September 2 — the seventh consecutive hold since the last cut in October 2025. On the surface, nothing changed. Below the surface, everything did. Governor Tiff Macklem's post-decision language was the most hawkish the Bank has sounded in over a year. He flagged that persistently high oil prices (Brent has since touched $107) and new U.S. tariffs — combined with Canada's own $27.6 billion retaliation list — are creating genuine upside risks to inflation. The BoC's August deliberations summary, released September 16, confirmed the Governing Council is now actively weighing a hike, not just a hold. The August CPI reading that came in on September 14 didn't settle anything: headline inflation held at ...
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Stock Market Today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq Futures Signal Rebound from Fed-Fueled Rout

                                          

U.S. stock futures indicated a rebound Thursday morning following a significant sell-off triggered by the Federal Reserve's latest interest rate decision. Futures tied to the S&P 500 rose by 0.5%, while those for the tech-heavy Nasdaq climbed 0.6%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures also saw a 0.5% increase.

The Federal Reserve's decision to scale back the number of anticipated rate cuts next year to two, coupled with Chair Jerome Powell's cautious remarks, led markets to interpret the move as a "hawkish cut," resulting in steep declines for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. The Dow, meanwhile, is experiencing its longest losing streak in 50 years.

Despite the recent downturn, the Dow remains up over 12% for the year. On the economic front, the third estimate for third-quarter U.S. GDP showed a growth rate of 3.1%, surpassing earlier estimates. Additionally, weekly unemployment claims fell to 220,000, down from 242,000 the previous week.

Investors are now closely watching the market's response to these developments, hoping for a rebound in the coming days.




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