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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Stock Market Today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq Futures Signal Rebound from Fed-Fueled Rout

                                          

U.S. stock futures indicated a rebound Thursday morning following a significant sell-off triggered by the Federal Reserve's latest interest rate decision. Futures tied to the S&P 500 rose by 0.5%, while those for the tech-heavy Nasdaq climbed 0.6%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures also saw a 0.5% increase.

The Federal Reserve's decision to scale back the number of anticipated rate cuts next year to two, coupled with Chair Jerome Powell's cautious remarks, led markets to interpret the move as a "hawkish cut," resulting in steep declines for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. The Dow, meanwhile, is experiencing its longest losing streak in 50 years.

Despite the recent downturn, the Dow remains up over 12% for the year. On the economic front, the third estimate for third-quarter U.S. GDP showed a growth rate of 3.1%, surpassing earlier estimates. Additionally, weekly unemployment claims fell to 220,000, down from 242,000 the previous week.

Investors are now closely watching the market's response to these developments, hoping for a rebound in the coming days.




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