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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Wall Street Poised for Higher Open Ahead of Fed Decision


U.S. stock futures are pointing to a higher open on Wednesday as investors gear up for the Federal Reserve's upcoming decision on interest rates. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq futures are all showing gains, indicating a positive start to the trading day.

Market participants are eagerly awaiting the Federal Reserve's announcement, with many expecting a quarter-percentage point cut in the federal funds rate. This anticipated move comes as the Fed aims to support a slowing job market while keeping inflation in check.

Investors are also keeping an eye on the Fed Chair Jerome Powell's remarks following the decision, as his comments could provide further insights into the central bank's future monetary policy direction.

The premarket optimism follows a week of mixed economic reports and comes ahead of the Fed's last meeting of the year. Analysts believe that a series of rate cuts could help boost the economy and support investment prices, although there are concerns about potential inflationary pressures.

As the market awaits the Fed's decision, all eyes will be on how the central bank navigates the delicate balance between fostering economic growth and maintaining price stability.



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