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Canada's Economy Just Grew 3.3% — Here's Why That Makes a September Rate Cut Even Less Likely

  Published August 29, 2026 If you've been holding out hope that a slowing economy might finally push the Bank of Canada toward a rate cut, Friday's numbers just closed that door a little further. Statistics Canada reported that the Canadian economy grew at an annualized pace of 3.3% in the second quarter — the fastest rate since 2023 — and revised figures show the first quarter expanded 0.3% rather than shrinking as originally reported. That confirms Canada never actually slid into a technical recession this year. It's good news for the economy. It's less good news if you were counting on lower borrowing costs anytime soon. What actually drove the growth The rebound was broad-based. Exports posted their strongest performance in 39 months, business investment in factories, equipment and commercial real estate jumped, and consumer spending held up as well. On a per-person basis, output grew at a 3.8% annualized clip — the quickest pace since late 2021, even with Canada...
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Canada's Inflation Rate Declines to 1.8% in December Amid GST Tax Break

 

Canada's annual inflation rate fell to 1.8% in December 2024, according to Statistics Canada. This decrease is largely attributed to the federal government's temporary tax break on various goods and services, including food purchased from restaurants, alcohol, tobacco, and clothing.

The tax break, which was introduced mid-December, significantly contributed to the deceleration in inflation. Without this tax relief, the inflation rate would have risen to 2.3%. Grocery prices also saw a decline, falling to 1.9% from the previous month.

The Bank of Canada is now closely monitoring these developments as it prepares for its next interest rate decision. Analysts are speculating whether this consistent easing of inflation might prompt further rate cuts.

This report highlights the impact of fiscal policies on inflation and underscores the importance of government interventions in managing economic stability.




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