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Markets Slip as Investors Bet on Extended U.S.–Iran Ceasefire

  Stocks Edge Lower as Investors Hope U.S.–Iran Ceasefire Will Hold Stocks drifted lower today as markets balanced cautious optimism over a potential extension of the U.S.–Iran ceasefire with persistent geopolitical and inflation concerns. Recent trading sessions have shown that even modest signs of diplomatic progress can meaningfully shift investor sentiment. Asian and U.S. markets rallied earlier this week on hopes that Washington and Tehran would continue negotiations, helping unwind some of the war-driven risk premiums that had pushed oil and volatility higher. Despite the pullback, investors remain hopeful that the ceasefire—currently set to expire soon—will be extended, giving negotiators more time to work toward a longer-term agreement. Reports indicate both sides are considering adding another two weeks to the pause, a move that has already helped push Brent crude below the recent peak of nearly US$120 per barrel. Lower oil prices have eased pressure on inflation expecta...

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Final Ceasefire Draft Presented to Israel and Hamas After Breakthrough in Doha

 


Mediators have presented Israel and Hamas with a final draft of a ceasefire deal aimed at ending the war in Gaza, following a breakthrough in negotiations held in Doha. The draft, which includes provisions for the release of hostages and a cessation of hostilities, was handed over after midnight talks involving Israel's spy chiefs, President-elect Trump's Middle East envoy, and Qatar’s prime minister.

The negotiations, which have been ongoing for over a year with the involvement of the United States, Qatar, and Egypt, reached a pivotal moment early Monday. U.S. President Joe Biden and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu discussed the urgent need for a ceasefire and the release of hostages in a recent phone call.

While both sides have yet to confirm the final draft, officials have described the progress as promising. The next 24 hours are seen as crucial to sealing the deal before President Biden leaves office.

The war in Gaza, which began in October 2023, has resulted in significant casualties and a humanitarian crisis. The proposed ceasefire aims to address these issues and pave the way for a lasting peace.





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