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5 Things to Know Today: Canada Enters Recession, Oil Slips on Iran Ceasefire Talk

Saturday, May 30, 2026 — Your quick-hit Canadian financial briefing for the day. 1.Canada Officially Meets the Definition of a Technical Recession Statistics Canada confirmed Friday that real GDP contracted 0.1% on an annualized basis in Q1 2026 — following a revised 1.0% drop in Q4 2025 . That's two straight quarters of negative growth, which meets the technical definition of a recession. The miss was a big one: economists had forecast growth of 1.5% . The main culprits were a surge in imports (up 2.9%, largely gold), declining business capital investment (down 0.7% — its fifth consecutive quarterly drop ), and weakness in resource extraction and construction. On a per-capita basis, GDP actually edged up 0.2% as Canada's population shrank for the second quarter in a row. Not everyone is ready to call it a full recession: some economists note that three of the four weak months were isolated, and early April data points to a sharp 0.4% rebound . Still, the numbers ...
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Ford Calls for Early Election Amidst Political Turmoil


Ontario Premier Doug Ford is set to request the dissolution of the provincial parliament today, triggering an early election scheduled for February 27. Ford's office announced that he will visit Lt.-Gov. Edith Dumont this afternoon to end the legislature's 43rd parliament. Ford has stated that he needs a new mandate from the electorate to address issues related to U.S. President Donald Trump.

Opposition leaders, including NDP Leader Marit Stiles, Liberal Leader Bonnie Crombie, and Green Party Leader Mike Schreiner, have criticized the decision, calling it a waste of time and money. Despite the controversy, Ford plans to continue his duties as premier, including a visit to Washington, D.C., in February with other premiers, while also campaigning as the leader of the Progressive Conservatives.

The early election call comes amidst a backdrop of political and economic challenges, with Ford seeking to solidify his position and address pressing issues facing the province.

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