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5 Things to Know Today — June 16, 2026

1 TSX Surges 1% on US-Iran Peace Deal The S&P/TSX Composite Index surged 1% to a record 35,276 on Monday following news of a preliminary US-Iran peace agreement. Bank stocks led the rally—RBC, TD, and BMO all advanced strongly—while mining shares gained as gold prices rose. Energy stocks fell sharply as oil prices sank on expectations of renewed supply flows from the Middle East. 2 Bank of Canada's Rate Hold Still in Focus Markets continue to assess the June 10 BoC decision to hold the overnight rate at 2.25%. Economists are watching for signs of inflation stability in upcoming CPI data before any potential rate cuts later this year. Fixed mortgage rates remain elevated, keeping the renewal crisis front and centre for Canadian households. 3 Canada-US Dollar Weakens Near 1.40 The Canadian dollar weakened to around 1.40 USD/CAD as the loonie remains under pressure from soft domestic growth and US trade policy uncertainty. The BoC's measured rate-hold stance is being counte...

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Freeland and Carney Poised to Enter Liberal Leadership Race

In a significant political development, former finance minister Chrystia Freeland and ex-central banker Mark Carney are expected to enter the race for the Liberal Party leadership. This follows Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's announcement that he will step down once a successor is chosen.

Freeland, who has been a prominent figure in Trudeau's cabinet, is currently leading in public opinion polls. Carney, known for his tenure as the Governor of the Bank of Canada, is also a strong contender. The leadership vote is set for March 9, ahead of the 2025 national elections.

The Liberal Party faces significant challenges, including economic issues and declining support. The new leader will need to address these concerns and devise a strategy to counter the opposition Conservatives.


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