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BoC Held Again at 2.25% — But a Rate Hike Is Now More Likely Than Not Before Year-End

  Bond markets put the odds of an October 28 hike at 57%. Here's what the big banks are forecasting, what it means for your mortgage payment, and how to think about your next move. MoneySavings.ca · September 17, 2026 The Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate at 2.25% on September 2 — the seventh consecutive hold since the last cut in October 2025. On the surface, nothing changed. Below the surface, everything did. Governor Tiff Macklem's post-decision language was the most hawkish the Bank has sounded in over a year. He flagged that persistently high oil prices (Brent has since touched $107) and new U.S. tariffs — combined with Canada's own $27.6 billion retaliation list — are creating genuine upside risks to inflation. The BoC's August deliberations summary, released September 16, confirmed the Governing Council is now actively weighing a hike, not just a hold. The August CPI reading that came in on September 14 didn't settle anything: headline inflation held at ...
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Freeland and Carney Poised to Enter Liberal Leadership Race

In a significant political development, former finance minister Chrystia Freeland and ex-central banker Mark Carney are expected to enter the race for the Liberal Party leadership. This follows Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's announcement that he will step down once a successor is chosen.

Freeland, who has been a prominent figure in Trudeau's cabinet, is currently leading in public opinion polls. Carney, known for his tenure as the Governor of the Bank of Canada, is also a strong contender. The leadership vote is set for March 9, ahead of the 2025 national elections.

The Liberal Party faces significant challenges, including economic issues and declining support. The new leader will need to address these concerns and devise a strategy to counter the opposition Conservatives.


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