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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Decision Looms, TSX Sits Near Record Highs

  Saturday, July 11, 2026 Here's what Canadians need to know heading into the week, as markets brace for the Bank of Canada's rate decision and the CUSMA trade file keeps grinding along. 1. The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and a hold is all but locked in The Bank of Canada's next rate announcement lands July 15, and virtually every economist on Bay Street expects the overnight rate to stay parked at 2.25% — what would be a sixth straight pause. A stronger-than-expected June jobs report has taken away any urgency to cut, while cooling inflation and lingering trade uncertainty argue against a hike. Expect the accompanying statement to lean on familiar language: steady as she goes. 2. June's jobs report beat expectations, and the jobless rate ticked down Statistics Canada reported employers added roughly 18,000 jobs in June, ahead of forecasts and building on May's much larger 88,000-job gain. The unemployment rate slipped to 6.5%, back to where it stood in Januar...
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Freeland and Carney Poised to Enter Liberal Leadership Race

In a significant political development, former finance minister Chrystia Freeland and ex-central banker Mark Carney are expected to enter the race for the Liberal Party leadership. This follows Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's announcement that he will step down once a successor is chosen.

Freeland, who has been a prominent figure in Trudeau's cabinet, is currently leading in public opinion polls. Carney, known for his tenure as the Governor of the Bank of Canada, is also a strong contender. The leadership vote is set for March 9, ahead of the 2025 national elections.

The Liberal Party faces significant challenges, including economic issues and declining support. The new leader will need to address these concerns and devise a strategy to counter the opposition Conservatives.


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