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5 Things to Know Today: Canada Enters Recession, Oil Slips on Iran Ceasefire Talk

Saturday, May 30, 2026 — Your quick-hit Canadian financial briefing for the day. 1.Canada Officially Meets the Definition of a Technical Recession Statistics Canada confirmed Friday that real GDP contracted 0.1% on an annualized basis in Q1 2026 — following a revised 1.0% drop in Q4 2025 . That's two straight quarters of negative growth, which meets the technical definition of a recession. The miss was a big one: economists had forecast growth of 1.5% . The main culprits were a surge in imports (up 2.9%, largely gold), declining business capital investment (down 0.7% — its fifth consecutive quarterly drop ), and weakness in resource extraction and construction. On a per-capita basis, GDP actually edged up 0.2% as Canada's population shrank for the second quarter in a row. Not everyone is ready to call it a full recession: some economists note that three of the four weak months were isolated, and early April data points to a sharp 0.4% rebound . Still, the numbers ...
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Freeland and Carney Poised to Enter Liberal Leadership Race

In a significant political development, former finance minister Chrystia Freeland and ex-central banker Mark Carney are expected to enter the race for the Liberal Party leadership. This follows Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's announcement that he will step down once a successor is chosen.

Freeland, who has been a prominent figure in Trudeau's cabinet, is currently leading in public opinion polls. Carney, known for his tenure as the Governor of the Bank of Canada, is also a strong contender. The leadership vote is set for March 9, ahead of the 2025 national elections.

The Liberal Party faces significant challenges, including economic issues and declining support. The new leader will need to address these concerns and devise a strategy to counter the opposition Conservatives.


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