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5 Things to Know Today: Fed Decision Looms, TSX Slides, Gas Prices Climb (Sept 16)

  Wednesday, September 16, 2026 The Fed's biggest decision in years lands at 2 p.m. ET today, the TSX and loonie are both licking their wounds, and drivers are paying more at the pump despite the gas tax holiday. Here's what's moving your money this morning. 1. The Fed Decides on Rates Today — and a Hike Looks All but Certain The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET, with Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to follow at 2:30 p.m. Markets have priced in over 90% odds of a 25-basis-point hike, which would lift the target range to 3.75%–4.00% from 3.50%–3.75%, where it's sat since December. It would be the first hike of this cycle, driven by inflation still running above target even as the labour market holds up. What it means for you: A Fed hike widens the gap with the Bank of Canada's 2.25% rate, which tends to pressure the loonie lower and nudge Canadian bond yields — and by extension fixed mortgage pricing — upward. Watch for the reaction ...

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Freeland and Carney Poised to Enter Liberal Leadership Race

In a significant political development, former finance minister Chrystia Freeland and ex-central banker Mark Carney are expected to enter the race for the Liberal Party leadership. This follows Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's announcement that he will step down once a successor is chosen.

Freeland, who has been a prominent figure in Trudeau's cabinet, is currently leading in public opinion polls. Carney, known for his tenure as the Governor of the Bank of Canada, is also a strong contender. The leadership vote is set for March 9, ahead of the 2025 national elections.

The Liberal Party faces significant challenges, including economic issues and declining support. The new leader will need to address these concerns and devise a strategy to counter the opposition Conservatives.


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