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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Israel Halts Return of Thousands of Palestinians Amid Hostage Dispute with Hamas

 

In a recent development, Israel has stopped the return of thousands of Palestinians to their homes in northern Gaza, citing a violation of the ceasefire agreement by Hamas. The ceasefire, which was meant to bring peace and allow displaced Palestinians to return home, has been disrupted due to the non-release of a civilian hostage, Arbel Yehud.

According to Israeli officials, Hamas was supposed to release Yehud before freeing four female soldiers. However, Hamas did not adhere to this order, leading Israel to block the return of Palestinians until the situation is resolved. This decision has left many Palestinians stranded and uncertain about their future.

The ceasefire deal, which was brokered to end 15 months of conflict, included the release of hostages and Palestinian prisoners, as well as increased humanitarian aid for Gaza. Despite the initial hope brought by the ceasefire, the current dispute has cast a shadow over the fragile peace.

As negotiations continue, both sides remain hopeful for a resolution that will allow the safe return of displaced Palestinians and the release of all hostages. The international community continues to monitor the situation closely, urging both parties to adhere to the terms of the ceasefire and work towards lasting peace.




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