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5 Things to Know Today: Fed Decision Looms, TSX Slides, Gas Prices Climb (Sept 16)

  Wednesday, September 16, 2026 The Fed's biggest decision in years lands at 2 p.m. ET today, the TSX and loonie are both licking their wounds, and drivers are paying more at the pump despite the gas tax holiday. Here's what's moving your money this morning. 1. The Fed Decides on Rates Today — and a Hike Looks All but Certain The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET, with Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to follow at 2:30 p.m. Markets have priced in over 90% odds of a 25-basis-point hike, which would lift the target range to 3.75%–4.00% from 3.50%–3.75%, where it's sat since December. It would be the first hike of this cycle, driven by inflation still running above target even as the labour market holds up. What it means for you: A Fed hike widens the gap with the Bank of Canada's 2.25% rate, which tends to pressure the loonie lower and nudge Canadian bond yields — and by extension fixed mortgage pricing — upward. Watch for the reaction ...

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Israel Halts Return of Thousands of Palestinians Amid Hostage Dispute with Hamas

 

In a recent development, Israel has stopped the return of thousands of Palestinians to their homes in northern Gaza, citing a violation of the ceasefire agreement by Hamas. The ceasefire, which was meant to bring peace and allow displaced Palestinians to return home, has been disrupted due to the non-release of a civilian hostage, Arbel Yehud.

According to Israeli officials, Hamas was supposed to release Yehud before freeing four female soldiers. However, Hamas did not adhere to this order, leading Israel to block the return of Palestinians until the situation is resolved. This decision has left many Palestinians stranded and uncertain about their future.

The ceasefire deal, which was brokered to end 15 months of conflict, included the release of hostages and Palestinian prisoners, as well as increased humanitarian aid for Gaza. Despite the initial hope brought by the ceasefire, the current dispute has cast a shadow over the fragile peace.

As negotiations continue, both sides remain hopeful for a resolution that will allow the safe return of displaced Palestinians and the release of all hostages. The international community continues to monitor the situation closely, urging both parties to adhere to the terms of the ceasefire and work towards lasting peace.




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