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BoC Held Again at 2.25% — But a Rate Hike Is Now More Likely Than Not Before Year-End

  Bond markets put the odds of an October 28 hike at 57%. Here's what the big banks are forecasting, what it means for your mortgage payment, and how to think about your next move. MoneySavings.ca · September 17, 2026 The Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate at 2.25% on September 2 — the seventh consecutive hold since the last cut in October 2025. On the surface, nothing changed. Below the surface, everything did. Governor Tiff Macklem's post-decision language was the most hawkish the Bank has sounded in over a year. He flagged that persistently high oil prices (Brent has since touched $107) and new U.S. tariffs — combined with Canada's own $27.6 billion retaliation list — are creating genuine upside risks to inflation. The BoC's August deliberations summary, released September 16, confirmed the Governing Council is now actively weighing a hike, not just a hold. The August CPI reading that came in on September 14 didn't settle anything: headline inflation held at ...

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Israel Halts Return of Thousands of Palestinians Amid Hostage Dispute with Hamas

 

In a recent development, Israel has stopped the return of thousands of Palestinians to their homes in northern Gaza, citing a violation of the ceasefire agreement by Hamas. The ceasefire, which was meant to bring peace and allow displaced Palestinians to return home, has been disrupted due to the non-release of a civilian hostage, Arbel Yehud.

According to Israeli officials, Hamas was supposed to release Yehud before freeing four female soldiers. However, Hamas did not adhere to this order, leading Israel to block the return of Palestinians until the situation is resolved. This decision has left many Palestinians stranded and uncertain about their future.

The ceasefire deal, which was brokered to end 15 months of conflict, included the release of hostages and Palestinian prisoners, as well as increased humanitarian aid for Gaza. Despite the initial hope brought by the ceasefire, the current dispute has cast a shadow over the fragile peace.

As negotiations continue, both sides remain hopeful for a resolution that will allow the safe return of displaced Palestinians and the release of all hostages. The international community continues to monitor the situation closely, urging both parties to adhere to the terms of the ceasefire and work towards lasting peace.




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