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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Israel Halts Return of Thousands of Palestinians Amid Hostage Dispute with Hamas

 

In a recent development, Israel has stopped the return of thousands of Palestinians to their homes in northern Gaza, citing a violation of the ceasefire agreement by Hamas. The ceasefire, which was meant to bring peace and allow displaced Palestinians to return home, has been disrupted due to the non-release of a civilian hostage, Arbel Yehud.

According to Israeli officials, Hamas was supposed to release Yehud before freeing four female soldiers. However, Hamas did not adhere to this order, leading Israel to block the return of Palestinians until the situation is resolved. This decision has left many Palestinians stranded and uncertain about their future.

The ceasefire deal, which was brokered to end 15 months of conflict, included the release of hostages and Palestinian prisoners, as well as increased humanitarian aid for Gaza. Despite the initial hope brought by the ceasefire, the current dispute has cast a shadow over the fragile peace.

As negotiations continue, both sides remain hopeful for a resolution that will allow the safe return of displaced Palestinians and the release of all hostages. The international community continues to monitor the situation closely, urging both parties to adhere to the terms of the ceasefire and work towards lasting peace.




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