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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Israeli Strikes Claim Lives in Gaza as Ceasefire Talks Resume

 

In a tragic escalation of violence, Israeli military strikes have killed dozens of people in the Gaza Strip, including women and children. The strikes, which took place over the past 24 hours, have brought the death toll to 62, according to Palestinian medics. The attacks targeted various locations, including residential areas and a house in Gaza City, where 12 people were killed.

As the death toll rises, mediators have launched a new push for a ceasefire in Qatar. The talks, brokered by Qatari and Egyptian mediators with the support of the U.S. administration, aim to bring an end to the 15-month-long conflict and secure the release of Israeli hostages.

The situation remains tense, with both sides expressing a commitment to reaching an agreement, though it remains unclear how close they are to a resolution. The international community continues to call for an end to the violence and for humanitarian aid to reach those affected by the conflict.

The ongoing conflict has already displaced most of Gaza's 2.3 million residents and caused widespread destruction. As the talks proceed, the hope is that a ceasefire can be achieved to prevent further loss of life and suffering.




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