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June Jobs Report: What It Means for the Bank of Canada's July 15 Decision

  Friday, July 10, 2026 Statistics Canada releases its June Labour Force Survey today, and the timing couldn't matter more. This is the last major economic data point before the Bank of Canada's next interest rate decision on July 15, 2026 — and whichever way the jobs numbers break, they'll shape what happens to borrowing costs for the rest of the summer. What Economists Are Expecting Consensus forecasts point to a modest but positive jobs report. Economists expect Canada added around 10,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.6%. That would follow a much stronger May, when the economy added 88,000 jobs and the unemployment rate actually fell by 0.3 percentage points. In other words, June's report is expected to show a cooling-off after May's surprise strength — not a reversal, but a return to a more modest pace of hiring. Indicator May 2026 June 2026 (Forecast) Net Employment Change +88,000 jobs +10,000 jobs (expected) Unemployment Rate 6....
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Mark Carney Gains Momentum with Key Endorsements in Liberal Leadership Race

 

Liberal leadership hopeful Mark Carney has secured the endorsements of four more current and former cabinet ministers. On Tuesday, Indigenous Services Minister Patty Hajdu, Crown-Indigenous Relations and Northern Affairs Minister Gary Anandasangaree, and former housing minister Sean Fraser all threw their support behind Carney on social media. 

Environment Minister Steven Guilbeault also endorsed Carney while speaking to reporters at the Liberal cabinet retreat in Montebello, Quebec. Guilbeault praised Carney's experience and background, highlighting their collaboration on issues such as green energy transition and fighting climate change. 

Carney's stance on carbon pricing has been a focal point of his campaign. While he has been a longtime supporter of carbon pricing to combat climate change, he has hinted at a policy shift, suggesting that if the carbon price is to be replaced, it must be with something equally or more effective. 

The Liberal Party will choose a new leader on March 9 to replace Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, who announced his resignation earlier this month. Carney's growing list of endorsements positions him as a strong contender in the leadership race.

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