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5 Things to Know Today: Fed Decision Looms, TSX Slides, Gas Prices Climb (Sept 16)

  Wednesday, September 16, 2026 The Fed's biggest decision in years lands at 2 p.m. ET today, the TSX and loonie are both licking their wounds, and drivers are paying more at the pump despite the gas tax holiday. Here's what's moving your money this morning. 1. The Fed Decides on Rates Today — and a Hike Looks All but Certain The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET, with Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to follow at 2:30 p.m. Markets have priced in over 90% odds of a 25-basis-point hike, which would lift the target range to 3.75%–4.00% from 3.50%–3.75%, where it's sat since December. It would be the first hike of this cycle, driven by inflation still running above target even as the labour market holds up. What it means for you: A Fed hike widens the gap with the Bank of Canada's 2.25% rate, which tends to pressure the loonie lower and nudge Canadian bond yields — and by extension fixed mortgage pricing — upward. Watch for the reaction ...
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Mark Carney's Alberta Roots: A Strategic Launch for Liberal Leadership

 

 Mark Carney, the former Governor of the Bank of Canada, is set to unveil his Liberal leadership campaign this afternoon in Edmonton, ending nearly a decade of speculation about his political ambitions. 

Carney's decision to launch his campaign from Alberta is a strategic move to highlight his roots in the province. An Edmonton Oilers fan, Carney grew up in the city's west end and worked as a newspaper boy. This launch gives him a chance to connect with voters in a province that has traditionally leaned conservative.

The leadership race is expected to be intense, with former finance minister Chrystia Freeland and government House leader Karina Gould also expected to enter the race in the coming days. The cut-off date to declare a bid for the leadership is January 23, and candidates have to pay a $350,000 entrance fee. 

Carney will seek to position himself as an outsider and put some distance between himself and the deeply unpopular government of outgoing Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. Pierre Poilievre's Conservatives will attempt to tie Carney to the Trudeau government's sinking brand and attack him over his past support of carbon pricing and his recent work advising the Liberal party on economics.

Launching his campaign in Edmonton gives Carney a chance to put his Alberta roots on full display as Canadians get to know him. Alberta could shape up to be an intense battleground between Carney and Freeland, who also grew up in the province.



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