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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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S&P 500 Soars to Record High Two Days After Trump's Inauguration

In a remarkable turn of events, the S&P 500 index reached a record high just two days after President Donald Trump's inauguration. The market surged by 0.81%, briefly trading above 6,100, driven by renewed optimism around Trump's trade policies. Investors seemed unfazed by Trump's tariff threats, focusing instead on the potential benefits of his administration's economic plans.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average also saw gains, rising by 127 points, while the Nasdaq index climbed 1.5%. Analysts attribute the market's performance to strong earnings reports and Trump's more moderate tone on trade compared to his campaign promises.

As the new administration settles in, market watchers are keenly observing how Trump's policies will shape the economic landscape in the coming months.




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