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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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S&P 500 Soars to Record High Two Days After Trump's Inauguration

In a remarkable turn of events, the S&P 500 index reached a record high just two days after President Donald Trump's inauguration. The market surged by 0.81%, briefly trading above 6,100, driven by renewed optimism around Trump's trade policies. Investors seemed unfazed by Trump's tariff threats, focusing instead on the potential benefits of his administration's economic plans.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average also saw gains, rising by 127 points, while the Nasdaq index climbed 1.5%. Analysts attribute the market's performance to strong earnings reports and Trump's more moderate tone on trade compared to his campaign promises.

As the new administration settles in, market watchers are keenly observing how Trump's policies will shape the economic landscape in the coming months.




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