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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...

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S&P 500 Soars to Record High Two Days After Trump's Inauguration

In a remarkable turn of events, the S&P 500 index reached a record high just two days after President Donald Trump's inauguration. The market surged by 0.81%, briefly trading above 6,100, driven by renewed optimism around Trump's trade policies. Investors seemed unfazed by Trump's tariff threats, focusing instead on the potential benefits of his administration's economic plans.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average also saw gains, rising by 127 points, while the Nasdaq index climbed 1.5%. Analysts attribute the market's performance to strong earnings reports and Trump's more moderate tone on trade compared to his campaign promises.

As the new administration settles in, market watchers are keenly observing how Trump's policies will shape the economic landscape in the coming months.




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