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June Jobs Report: What It Means for the Bank of Canada's July 15 Decision

  Friday, July 10, 2026 Statistics Canada releases its June Labour Force Survey today, and the timing couldn't matter more. This is the last major economic data point before the Bank of Canada's next interest rate decision on July 15, 2026 — and whichever way the jobs numbers break, they'll shape what happens to borrowing costs for the rest of the summer. What Economists Are Expecting Consensus forecasts point to a modest but positive jobs report. Economists expect Canada added around 10,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.6%. That would follow a much stronger May, when the economy added 88,000 jobs and the unemployment rate actually fell by 0.3 percentage points. In other words, June's report is expected to show a cooling-off after May's surprise strength — not a reversal, but a return to a more modest pace of hiring. Indicator May 2026 June 2026 (Forecast) Net Employment Change +88,000 jobs +10,000 jobs (expected) Unemployment Rate 6....
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Stocks Rally on Softer Inflation and Strong Earning

                                     

U.S. stocks surged in premarket trading today following softer-than-expected inflation data and upbeat fourth-quarter earnings reports from major companies.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, rose by 3.2% in December, below forecasts for a 3.3% annual increase. This news has raised hopes for a potential second rate cut by the Federal Reserve this year.

Investors were also buoyed by strong earnings reports from leading financial institutions. JPMorgan Chase reported its highest annual profit on record, while BlackRock and Goldman Sachs posted impressive quarterly results.

The positive sentiment was reflected in the stock market, with U.S. stock index futures soaring by 1.5-1.7%. The dollar fell by 0.5% against a basket of major currencies, and U.S. Treasury yields dropped 8.6 basis points to 4.704%.

Market analysts believe that the combination of lower inflation and robust corporate earnings could provide a much-needed boost to investor confidence and market stability.



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