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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...
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Stocks Rally on Softer Inflation and Strong Earning

                                     

U.S. stocks surged in premarket trading today following softer-than-expected inflation data and upbeat fourth-quarter earnings reports from major companies.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, rose by 3.2% in December, below forecasts for a 3.3% annual increase. This news has raised hopes for a potential second rate cut by the Federal Reserve this year.

Investors were also buoyed by strong earnings reports from leading financial institutions. JPMorgan Chase reported its highest annual profit on record, while BlackRock and Goldman Sachs posted impressive quarterly results.

The positive sentiment was reflected in the stock market, with U.S. stock index futures soaring by 1.5-1.7%. The dollar fell by 0.5% against a basket of major currencies, and U.S. Treasury yields dropped 8.6 basis points to 4.704%.

Market analysts believe that the combination of lower inflation and robust corporate earnings could provide a much-needed boost to investor confidence and market stability.



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