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Markets Digest Iran Peace Progress and Fed Rate-Hike Risk — June 22, 2026

  Markets are easing into a cautious start this Monday as investors return from a long weekend — U.S. markets were closed Friday for Juneteenth — and assess a mixed backdrop: tentative optimism over U.S.–Iran peace talks, a newly hawkish Federal Reserve, and a key week of economic data and earnings ahead. Oil is steadying, the Canadian dollar is under modest pressure, and Asian markets rallied while European and U.S. futures drifted slightly lower in early trading. 🍁 Canada — TSX & the Loonie The S&P/TSX Composite Index heads into Monday trading with a cautious tone, sitting near the 34,857 level after slipping 0.32% on Thursday — the last day Canadian markets were open. Energy stocks will be in focus as oil prices stabilize following weeks of volatility tied to the U.S.–Iran conflict and the partial reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The Canadian dollar is trading at approximately 70.52 cents U.S. (CAD/USD: 0.7052), down about 0.22% on the session. The loonie remains und...
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Tensions Escalate as Israeli Forces Open Fire on Protestors in Southern Lebanon

In a tragic turn of events, Israeli forces opened fire on protestors in southern Lebanon on Sunday, resulting in the deaths of at least 11 individuals and injuring more than 80 others. The protestors, some carrying Hezbollah flags, were demanding the withdrawal of Israeli troops in accordance with a ceasefire agreement that had been in place since late November.

The Lebanese Health Ministry reported that the casualties included two women and a Lebanese army soldier. The protestors had breached roadblocks set up by the Israeli army, leading to the violent confrontation. The Lebanese army has stated that it cannot fully deploy to the area until Israeli forces withdraw, while Israel maintains that it needs to stay longer to ensure that Hezbollah does not reestablish a military presence.

Lebanese President Joseph Aoun addressed the people of southern Lebanon, emphasizing the importance of Lebanon's sovereignty and urging residents to exercise self-restraint and trust in the Lebanese Armed Forces. The situation remains tense as both sides navigate the complexities of the ceasefire agreement and the ongoing conflict.

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