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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Frosty Forecast: Shubenacadie Sam Signals Six More Weeks of Winter

 

In a heartwarming winter tradition, Nova Scotia’s beloved groundhog, Shubenacadie Sam, emerged from her burrow on February 2, 2025, at the Shubenacadie Wildlife Park to deliver her annual prediction. The excited crowd—made up of families bundled in their warmest coats—and thousands tuning in online watched as Sam peeked out into the crisp, frosty morning.

According to age-old folklore, if a groundhog sees her shadow, it means an extended winter is on the horizon. This year, Sam’s brief appearance confirmed that chilly forecast, as she was seen with her shadow, signaling six more weeks of wintry weather ahead. A park spokesperson noted that Sam’s prediction, made at 8 a.m. AST, sets the stage as Nova Scotians prepare for more time to enjoy their snow-covered landscapes before the arrival of spring.

Adding to the day’s festivities, the event coincided with World Wetlands Day—an occasion that highlights the importance of local biodiversity and conservation efforts. The wildlife park offered interactive displays and educational activities, underscoring the region’s commitment to preserving its natural heritage while celebrating this enduring cultural ritual.

Whether or not one believes in the weather-predicting powers of a groundhog, Shubenacadie Sam’s annual forecast remains a cherished part of Nova Scotia’s winter traditions, inviting the community to embrace the season’s beauty and prepare for the extra weeks of winter weather ahead.


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