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Bond Yields Are Nearing 5%: What It Means for Your Mortgage and HELOC

  Published September 11, 2026 Something is happening in the bond market this week that matters more to your wallet than the daily swings in the TSX. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note closed in on 5% on Friday — 4.95% , its highest level since 2023 and approaching territory not seen since 2007 — after climbing 18 basis points in a single week. Canadian bond yields have followed the same path: the 10-year Government of Canada bond hit its highest level in over two years earlier this month, and the 5-year bond — the one that actually sets your fixed mortgage rate — has drifted up to roughly 3.41%, about a quarter-point higher than it was a month ago. If you're renewing a mortgage, shopping for a HELOC, or just trying to figure out whether now is the moment to lock in, here's what's actually going on and what it means for your payments. Why bond yields, not the Bank of Canada, are driving fixed rates right now It's a common mix-up: people watch the Bank of Canada...
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Frosty Forecast: Shubenacadie Sam Signals Six More Weeks of Winter

 

In a heartwarming winter tradition, Nova Scotia’s beloved groundhog, Shubenacadie Sam, emerged from her burrow on February 2, 2025, at the Shubenacadie Wildlife Park to deliver her annual prediction. The excited crowd—made up of families bundled in their warmest coats—and thousands tuning in online watched as Sam peeked out into the crisp, frosty morning.

According to age-old folklore, if a groundhog sees her shadow, it means an extended winter is on the horizon. This year, Sam’s brief appearance confirmed that chilly forecast, as she was seen with her shadow, signaling six more weeks of wintry weather ahead. A park spokesperson noted that Sam’s prediction, made at 8 a.m. AST, sets the stage as Nova Scotians prepare for more time to enjoy their snow-covered landscapes before the arrival of spring.

Adding to the day’s festivities, the event coincided with World Wetlands Day—an occasion that highlights the importance of local biodiversity and conservation efforts. The wildlife park offered interactive displays and educational activities, underscoring the region’s commitment to preserving its natural heritage while celebrating this enduring cultural ritual.

Whether or not one believes in the weather-predicting powers of a groundhog, Shubenacadie Sam’s annual forecast remains a cherished part of Nova Scotia’s winter traditions, inviting the community to embrace the season’s beauty and prepare for the extra weeks of winter weather ahead.


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