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The Mortgage Renewal Wave Just Peaked — Here's What the Data Actually Shows

Published August 30, 2026 For three years, "the mortgage renewal wall" has been the scariest phrase in Canadian personal finance — the idea that a flood of ultra-cheap, pandemic-era mortgages would come due at much higher rates and trigger a wave of forced sales. That wall is now mostly behind us. Two new 2026 surveys, one from Royal LePage and one from Rates.ca, show what actually happened when it hit. The short version: it hurt, budgets tightened hard for a lot of people, but the mass default many feared simply didn't show up. The last big group is renewing right now Royal LePage's 2026 Mortgage Renewal Survey, released August 19 and based on a Leger poll of 1,127 Canadians renewing this year, pins down where things stand: about 12% of all outstanding Canadian mortgages are five-year, fixed-payment loans taken out during the 2020–2022 ultra-low-rate window, and this is their last major renewal wave. The Bank of Canada's overnight rate sat at just 0.25% through m...
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Frosty Forecast: Shubenacadie Sam Signals Six More Weeks of Winter

 

In a heartwarming winter tradition, Nova Scotia’s beloved groundhog, Shubenacadie Sam, emerged from her burrow on February 2, 2025, at the Shubenacadie Wildlife Park to deliver her annual prediction. The excited crowd—made up of families bundled in their warmest coats—and thousands tuning in online watched as Sam peeked out into the crisp, frosty morning.

According to age-old folklore, if a groundhog sees her shadow, it means an extended winter is on the horizon. This year, Sam’s brief appearance confirmed that chilly forecast, as she was seen with her shadow, signaling six more weeks of wintry weather ahead. A park spokesperson noted that Sam’s prediction, made at 8 a.m. AST, sets the stage as Nova Scotians prepare for more time to enjoy their snow-covered landscapes before the arrival of spring.

Adding to the day’s festivities, the event coincided with World Wetlands Day—an occasion that highlights the importance of local biodiversity and conservation efforts. The wildlife park offered interactive displays and educational activities, underscoring the region’s commitment to preserving its natural heritage while celebrating this enduring cultural ritual.

Whether or not one believes in the weather-predicting powers of a groundhog, Shubenacadie Sam’s annual forecast remains a cherished part of Nova Scotia’s winter traditions, inviting the community to embrace the season’s beauty and prepare for the extra weeks of winter weather ahead.


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