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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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NDP Blasts Ford for Washington Trip: Ethics Complaint Filed Over Alleged Partisan Use of Taxpayer Funds

 

Ontario NDP Leader Marit Stiles has formally lodged an ethics complaint with the province’s Integrity Commissioner over Premier Doug Ford’s recent Washington, D.C. trip. The complaint alleges that Ford blurred the lines between official government business and partisan campaigning by leveraging taxpayer-funded travel for electioneering purposes. A campaign-style video—initially posted with the Progressive Conservative party logo—has come under fire for suggesting that the trip was used to boost his re-election campaign, even after the logo was later removed. 

Ford made the trip in his capacity both as Ontario’s premier and as chair of the Council of the Federation, meeting with U.S. lawmakers to counter potential punitive tariffs amid threats from President Donald Trump. Despite assertions that the visit was intended to serve Ontario’s economic interests, Stiles argues that such actions constitute a misuse of public funds. “His actions have repeatedly and intentionally blurred the lines between official provincial business and partisan promotion,” she stated, emphasizing the need for transparency and accountability. 

Critics from both the NDP and Liberal ranks contend that the trip, especially during the middle of a snap election, undermines democratic integrity by prioritizing political gain over the public good. The complaint calls for an investigation into whether government resources were inappropriately used to produce campaign content and whether proper protocols were followed during the trip. 

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