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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Russia Unleashes Largest Drone Attack on Ukraine Ahead of War's Third Anniversary

In a dramatic escalation of hostilities, Russia launched its largest drone attack on Ukraine since the onset of the war. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy reported that over 200 drones were deployed in an overnight assault, marking the most significant aerial offensive to date.

The Ukrainian air force successfully intercepted 138 of the drones, while another 119 were neutralized through electronic warfare measures. Despite these efforts, damage was reported across five regions, including Dnipropetrovsk, Odesa, Poltava, Kyiv, and Zaporizhzhia.

President Zelenskiy condemned the attack as "aerial terror" and called for unity among Ukraine's allies to secure a "just and lasting peace". He emphasized the need for international support, highlighting the strength of Europe, America, and all partners committed to peace.

The attack comes on the eve of the third anniversary of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, underscoring the ongoing intensity of the conflict. As the war continues, the resilience of the Ukrainian people and the solidarity of their allies remain crucial in the face of such unprecedented aggression.



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