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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds Near 80%, Oil Tops US$100, Loonie Hits 5-Week High

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Saturday, October 24, 2026 The Bank of Canada is expected to raise rates on Wednesday, oil is back above US$100 and stocks slipped on AI worries. Here are the five things to know this Saturday, and what each one means for your wallet. 1 The Bank of Canada is widely expected to hike on Wednesday Markets are putting roughly an 80% chance on a quarter-point increase at the Bank of Canada’s Oct. 28 decision, which would lift the policy rate from 2.25% to 2.50%. A majority of economists polled by Reuters also expect a second hike by the end of March. The shift followed hawkish comments from Governor Tiff Macklem about a higher inflation outlook driven by oil. What it means for you Every 0.25-point increase adds about $250 a year (roughly $21 a month) for each $100,000 of prime-linked debt, such as a variable-rate mortgage or HELOC. Fixed-rate holders are not hit directly, but renewals are being priced off higher bond yields. Savers may see HISA and...
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Stock Market Stumbles as Trump Reaffirms Tariffs

                                            

The stock market took a hit on Friday as President Donald Trump reaffirmed his commitment to imposing sweeping tariffs on imports from Mexico, Canada, and China. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 0.8%, the S&P 500 dropped by 0.5%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite lost 0.3%.

Investors are concerned about the potential impact of these tariffs on the economy, as they could lead to increased costs for consumers and businesses. The White House confirmed that the tariffs, which include a 25% duty on goods from Mexico and Canada and a 10% tariff on Chinese imports, will take effect on Saturday.

Despite earlier optimism driven by solid earnings from Apple and an inflation reading that matched expectations, the tariff news overshadowed these positive developments. The uncertainty surrounding the tariffs has left Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell in a wait-and-see mode, with the potential for tariffs to inflame inflation being a key concern.

As the market closes, investors are bracing for the impact of these tariffs and the potential for further volatility in the coming days.




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