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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...

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Stock Market Stumbles as Trump Reaffirms Tariffs

                                            

The stock market took a hit on Friday as President Donald Trump reaffirmed his commitment to imposing sweeping tariffs on imports from Mexico, Canada, and China. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 0.8%, the S&P 500 dropped by 0.5%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite lost 0.3%.

Investors are concerned about the potential impact of these tariffs on the economy, as they could lead to increased costs for consumers and businesses. The White House confirmed that the tariffs, which include a 25% duty on goods from Mexico and Canada and a 10% tariff on Chinese imports, will take effect on Saturday.

Despite earlier optimism driven by solid earnings from Apple and an inflation reading that matched expectations, the tariff news overshadowed these positive developments. The uncertainty surrounding the tariffs has left Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell in a wait-and-see mode, with the potential for tariffs to inflame inflation being a key concern.

As the market closes, investors are bracing for the impact of these tariffs and the potential for further volatility in the coming days.




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