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Markets Slip as Investors Bet on Extended U.S.–Iran Ceasefire

  Stocks Edge Lower as Investors Hope U.S.–Iran Ceasefire Will Hold Stocks drifted lower today as markets balanced cautious optimism over a potential extension of the U.S.–Iran ceasefire with persistent geopolitical and inflation concerns. Recent trading sessions have shown that even modest signs of diplomatic progress can meaningfully shift investor sentiment. Asian and U.S. markets rallied earlier this week on hopes that Washington and Tehran would continue negotiations, helping unwind some of the war-driven risk premiums that had pushed oil and volatility higher. Despite the pullback, investors remain hopeful that the ceasefire—currently set to expire soon—will be extended, giving negotiators more time to work toward a longer-term agreement. Reports indicate both sides are considering adding another two weeks to the pause, a move that has already helped push Brent crude below the recent peak of nearly US$120 per barrel. Lower oil prices have eased pressure on inflation expecta...
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Tariff Tensions Shake Premarket as Inflation Data Looms

                                         

U.S. futures are exhibiting notable jitters in premarket trading following President Trump’s latest warning on imposing additional tariffs on countries that levy duties on U.S. imports. The renewed threat is adding to an already volatile atmosphere, with investors bracing for the imminent release of key inflation data later this morning.

Market participants are expressing heightened caution as the tariff threat intensifies trade policy uncertainty. “The prospect of extra tariffs not only disrupts global supply chains but also compounds inflationary pressures,” said one market strategist. Many fear that protectionist measures could fuel higher consumer prices, especially in sectors already under pressure from rising costs.

U.S. futures for major indices—the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq—are showing mixed movements as traders weigh the potential economic fallout. The dollar has strengthened modestly, reflecting a flight to safety amid concerns over policy unpredictability and persistent inflation. Investors are closely watching upcoming economic reports, including the Producer Price Index, which could offer further insights into the inflationary trend.

With President Trump signaling that any country imposing duties on U.S. goods might face reciprocal tariffs, experts warn that such measures could trigger a broader trade war. This would not only escalate global economic tensions but also undermine the Federal Reserve’s efforts to maintain price stability. For now, traders remain alert, anticipating that the forthcoming inflation data could significantly influence both market sentiment and future monetary policy decisions.

As uncertainty persists, analysts advise investors to proceed with caution and keep a close eye on how these policy moves, alongside the inflation readings, may shape the trading day ahead.

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