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5 Things to Know Today: US Inflation Day, Canada’s Job Losses and Oil Near $106 | Oct. 14, 2026

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Wednesday, October 14, 2026 Good morning. The biggest number of the day lands at 8:30 a.m. ET, and it could shape where mortgage rates and the loonie go next. Here are the five things worth knowing before you start your day. 1 US inflation report lands at 8:30 a.m. ET September U.S. CPI is the last major inflation reading before the Fed meets Oct. 27–28. Economists expect headline inflation to climb to roughly 3.6%–3.7% from 3.4% in August, a gasoline-driven jump of about 0.6% on the month, while core inflation is seen cooling to around 0.2% month over month. The Fed raised its target range to 3.75%–4.00% on Sept. 16, but September payrolls added just 29,000 jobs, and markets now see roughly a one-in-four chance of another hike in October, with December still largely priced in. What it means for you: A hotter-than-expected print can push bond yields higher, and Canadian fixed mortgage rates follow the 5-year bond. A cooler one eases the pressu...
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Tariff Turmoil: Markets React as Trump Targets Key Trading Partners

                                              

U.S. stock index futures took a sharp hit on Monday after President Trump announced steep tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China. The new measures include a 25% duty on goods from Canada and Mexico and a 10% levy on Chinese products, sparking fears of an escalating trade war and its potential to disrupt global supply chains.

Dow futures fell by more than 500 points early in the session, while both S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures dipped by around 1.5% to 2%. The sudden drop reflects mounting concerns among investors that the tariffs could trigger retaliatory measures from the affected nations, further intensifying market volatility and potentially slowing economic growth.

Analysts warn that if the trade conflict intensifies, the resulting uncertainty may push inflation higher and force the Federal Reserve to reconsider its policy stance. With key economic data and quarterly earnings reports on the horizon, traders and investors are closely monitoring the situation for further clues about the future direction of the markets.

Globally, markets from Europe to Asia have also shown signs of strain, underscoring the broad impact of the U.S. tariff policy. As nations weigh their responses, the coming days will be critical in determining whether these moves mark the start of a broader trade confrontation or a temporary market correction.


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