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5 Things to Know Today: Fed Decision Looms, TSX Slides, Gas Prices Climb (Sept 16)

  Wednesday, September 16, 2026 The Fed's biggest decision in years lands at 2 p.m. ET today, the TSX and loonie are both licking their wounds, and drivers are paying more at the pump despite the gas tax holiday. Here's what's moving your money this morning. 1. The Fed Decides on Rates Today — and a Hike Looks All but Certain The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET, with Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to follow at 2:30 p.m. Markets have priced in over 90% odds of a 25-basis-point hike, which would lift the target range to 3.75%–4.00% from 3.50%–3.75%, where it's sat since December. It would be the first hike of this cycle, driven by inflation still running above target even as the labour market holds up. What it means for you: A Fed hike widens the gap with the Bank of Canada's 2.25% rate, which tends to pressure the loonie lower and nudge Canadian bond yields — and by extension fixed mortgage pricing — upward. Watch for the reaction ...
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Tariff Turmoil: Markets React as Trump Targets Key Trading Partners

                                              

U.S. stock index futures took a sharp hit on Monday after President Trump announced steep tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China. The new measures include a 25% duty on goods from Canada and Mexico and a 10% levy on Chinese products, sparking fears of an escalating trade war and its potential to disrupt global supply chains.

Dow futures fell by more than 500 points early in the session, while both S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures dipped by around 1.5% to 2%. The sudden drop reflects mounting concerns among investors that the tariffs could trigger retaliatory measures from the affected nations, further intensifying market volatility and potentially slowing economic growth.

Analysts warn that if the trade conflict intensifies, the resulting uncertainty may push inflation higher and force the Federal Reserve to reconsider its policy stance. With key economic data and quarterly earnings reports on the horizon, traders and investors are closely monitoring the situation for further clues about the future direction of the markets.

Globally, markets from Europe to Asia have also shown signs of strain, underscoring the broad impact of the U.S. tariff policy. As nations weigh their responses, the coming days will be critical in determining whether these moves mark the start of a broader trade confrontation or a temporary market correction.


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