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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Trudeau Pledges Military Support and Seized Russian Funds to Ukraine on Invasion Anniversary

On the third anniversary of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau made a significant pledge of support to the embattled nation. During his visit to Kyiv, Trudeau announced that Canada would provide 25 light armoured vehicles to Ukraine, along with $5 billion in funds sourced from seized Russian assets.

Trudeau's visit to Kyiv was part of a larger summit attended by a dozen world leaders, all of whom gathered to show solidarity with Ukraine. In his remarks, Trudeau emphasized that Russia's invasion was an attempt to "erase Ukrainian history and expand their empire". He also highlighted Canada's commitment to helping Ukraine with energy security, as the country continues to face attacks on its power grid by Russian forces.

While Trudeau's speech did not address Ukraine's potential membership in the NATO military alliance, he reiterated the importance of Ukraine having a direct role in any negotiations to end the war. The summit proceeded despite the backdrop of an audible air-defense siren, underscoring the ongoing conflict and the urgency of international support.

This latest pledge from Canada reflects a continued commitment to supporting Ukraine in its fight for sovereignty and stability. Trudeau's visit and the accompanying military and financial aid signal a strong stance against Russian aggression and a dedication to upholding international peace and security.



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