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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Wall Street drifts lower, dragged down by tech and anxiety over China tariffs

U.S. stock futures declined on Wednesday morning, driven by disappointing earnings reports from major technology companies Alphabet Inc. and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD). As of 7:08 a.m. ET, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were down 0.1%, S&P 500 futures fell 0.4%, and Nasdaq 100 futures dropped 0.8%.

Alphabet, the parent company of Google, saw its shares fall by 7.1% in premarket trading after reporting mixed results, with weaker-than-expected cloud revenue growth. The company also announced a substantial $75 billion investment in artificial intelligence initiatives.

AMD's stock declined by nearly 10% following its earnings release, which revealed data center revenue below analysts' expectations. CEO Lisa Su projected a 7% decrease in data center sales for the upcoming quarter.

In contrast, Walt Disney Co. shares rose after reporting better-than-expected quarterly revenue and profit, despite a slight decrease in Disney+ subscribers.

Investors are also monitoring ongoing trade tensions, as concerns about prolonged tariffs between the U.S. and China add to market instability. China recently announced tariffs on various U.S. products and initiated an antitrust investigation into Google, with potential similar actions against Apple's App Store.

These developments contribute to a cautious market environment, with investors advised to remain vigilant and consider diversification strategies amid the current volatility.

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