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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Carney's Bold Moves: Trade War Relief and Megaproject Acceleration

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has unveiled a comprehensive plan to mitigate the economic impact of the ongoing trade war with the United States. In a decisive move, Carney announced measures aimed at supporting workers and businesses, including temporarily waiving the one-week waiting period for employment insurance and allowing businesses to defer corporate income tax payments and GST/HST remittances.

Carney also pledged to expedite major infrastructure projects through a streamlined "one-window approval process," aiming to cut red tape and accelerate development. Notable projects include the Cedar LNG and LNG Canada facilities in British Columbia and the Port of Churchill in Manitoba. These initiatives are expected to bolster Canada's economy and create significant opportunities for growth.

The Prime Minister emphasized the importance of removing barriers to the free movement of goods, services, and workers across provinces and territories, projecting an economic boost of $250 billion. With these measures, Carney aims to strengthen Canada's resilience and pave the way for long-term economic stability.


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