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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Crackdown in Turkey: Journalists Detained Amid Protests Over Erdogan Rival's Imprisonment

Turkish authorities have detained several journalists as protests erupt across the country following the imprisonment of Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu, a prominent rival to President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. The mayor's arrest on corruption charges has sparked the largest wave of demonstrations in Turkey in over a decade, raising concerns about press freedom and the state of democracy.

The journalists, reportedly detained from their homes, were accused of covering the protests. Media unions have condemned the detentions as an attack on the public's right to information. Meanwhile, the protests, largely peaceful, have seen clashes with police using water cannons and tear gas to disperse crowds.

Imamoglu's arrest is widely viewed as a politically motivated move to sideline a key opposition figure ahead of the 2028 presidential elections. Government officials, however, deny these allegations, insisting that the judiciary operates independently.


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