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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Danielle Smith's Call to Pause U.S. Tariffs Sparks Debate

 

Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has stirred controversy following her remarks during a recent interview with a U.S. media outlet. Smith revealed that she had urged the Trump administration to temporarily halt tariffs on Canadian goods until after Canada's federal election. She argued that the ongoing trade dispute was inadvertently boosting support for the Liberal Party, potentially impacting the Conservative Party's chances in the election.

Smith's comments have drawn criticism from various political leaders and analysts. Some have accused her of inviting foreign interference in Canadian politics, a claim her office has strongly denied. Critics argue that her plea prioritizes political strategy over the well-being of Canadians affected by the tariffs.

While Smith maintains that her request was aimed at fostering a fair resolution to the trade dispute, the debate over her remarks continues to dominate political discourse in Canada.

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