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BoC Held Again at 2.25% — But a Rate Hike Is Now More Likely Than Not Before Year-End

  Bond markets put the odds of an October 28 hike at 57%. Here's what the big banks are forecasting, what it means for your mortgage payment, and how to think about your next move. MoneySavings.ca · September 17, 2026 The Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate at 2.25% on September 2 — the seventh consecutive hold since the last cut in October 2025. On the surface, nothing changed. Below the surface, everything did. Governor Tiff Macklem's post-decision language was the most hawkish the Bank has sounded in over a year. He flagged that persistently high oil prices (Brent has since touched $107) and new U.S. tariffs — combined with Canada's own $27.6 billion retaliation list — are creating genuine upside risks to inflation. The BoC's August deliberations summary, released September 16, confirmed the Governing Council is now actively weighing a hike, not just a hold. The August CPI reading that came in on September 14 didn't settle anything: headline inflation held at ...

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Danielle Smith's Call to Pause U.S. Tariffs Sparks Debate

 

Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has stirred controversy following her remarks during a recent interview with a U.S. media outlet. Smith revealed that she had urged the Trump administration to temporarily halt tariffs on Canadian goods until after Canada's federal election. She argued that the ongoing trade dispute was inadvertently boosting support for the Liberal Party, potentially impacting the Conservative Party's chances in the election.

Smith's comments have drawn criticism from various political leaders and analysts. Some have accused her of inviting foreign interference in Canadian politics, a claim her office has strongly denied. Critics argue that her plea prioritizes political strategy over the well-being of Canadians affected by the tariffs.

While Smith maintains that her request was aimed at fostering a fair resolution to the trade dispute, the debate over her remarks continues to dominate political discourse in Canada.

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