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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...

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Egypt Proposes Ceasefire Amid Escalating Gaza Conflict

Egypt has stepped forward with a new truce proposal aimed at restoring peace in Gaza, following a surge in violence that has claimed the lives of at least 65 Palestinians in the past 24 hours. The escalation began after Israel resumed air and ground operations against Hamas, effectively ending a two-month period of relative calm.

The Egyptian plan reportedly includes a phased approach, with Hamas releasing five Israeli hostages each week. In return, Israel would implement the second phase of the ceasefire after the first week. The proposal also outlines a timeline for Israel's full withdrawal from Gaza, backed by U.S. guarantees.

While both Hamas and the U.S. have expressed tentative agreement to the proposal, Israel has yet to respond. The situation remains dire, with nearly 700 Palestinians reported killed since the resumption of hostilities, including many women and children. Humanitarian agencies have raised alarms over the worsening conditions in Gaza, where thousands are displaced and essential supplies are running critically low.

This latest effort by Egypt underscores the urgent need for a resolution to the ongoing conflict, as the region faces a mounting humanitarian crisis.

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