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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Egypt Proposes Ceasefire Amid Escalating Gaza Conflict

Egypt has stepped forward with a new truce proposal aimed at restoring peace in Gaza, following a surge in violence that has claimed the lives of at least 65 Palestinians in the past 24 hours. The escalation began after Israel resumed air and ground operations against Hamas, effectively ending a two-month period of relative calm.

The Egyptian plan reportedly includes a phased approach, with Hamas releasing five Israeli hostages each week. In return, Israel would implement the second phase of the ceasefire after the first week. The proposal also outlines a timeline for Israel's full withdrawal from Gaza, backed by U.S. guarantees.

While both Hamas and the U.S. have expressed tentative agreement to the proposal, Israel has yet to respond. The situation remains dire, with nearly 700 Palestinians reported killed since the resumption of hostilities, including many women and children. Humanitarian agencies have raised alarms over the worsening conditions in Gaza, where thousands are displaced and essential supplies are running critically low.

This latest effort by Egypt underscores the urgent need for a resolution to the ongoing conflict, as the region faces a mounting humanitarian crisis.

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