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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Federal Court Upholds Trudeau's Prorogation Decision

 

In a landmark ruling, the Federal Court has dismissed a legal challenge against Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's decision to prorogue Parliament earlier this year. The challenge, brought forward by two Nova Scotia residents, argued that Trudeau's move lacked reasonable justification and undermined Parliament's constitutional role. However, Chief Justice Paul Crampton concluded that the Prime Minister acted within his constitutional authority.

The court acknowledged the applicants' concerns about the growing concentration of power in the executive branch but found no evidence that Trudeau's decision exceeded legal limits or was solely driven by partisan motives. The ruling emphasized that the Prime Minister's advice to the Governor General, Mary Simon, to prorogue Parliament was not subject to judicial review in this context.

Trudeau had justified the prorogation as a necessary "reset" for a gridlocked Parliament and announced his intention to resign as Liberal leader, paving the way for new leadership. The decision has sparked debate about the balance of power between Canada's executive and legislative branches, but for now, the court's ruling affirms the legality of Trudeau's actions.

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