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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Hamas Dismisses Trump's Ultimatum, Demands Lasting Ceasefire for Hostage Release

In a recent development, Hamas has dismissed President Donald Trump's ultimatum to release the remaining Israeli hostages held in Gaza. The militant group has reiterated its stance that the hostages will only be freed in exchange for a lasting ceasefire in the Gaza Strip.

Trump's threat came after the White House confirmed unprecedented direct talks with Hamas, marking the first such engagement since the group was designated a foreign terrorist organization by the US in 1997. In a social media post, Trump warned Hamas to release all hostages and return the bodies of the deceased, or face severe consequences.

Hamas spokesperson Abdel-Latif al-Qanoua accused Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of attempting to back out of the ceasefire agreement reached in January. The agreement called for negotiations over a second phase, which would involve the release of hostages in exchange for more Palestinian prisoners, a permanent ceasefire, and an Israeli withdrawal from Gaza.

The fragile ceasefire, which has facilitated hostage exchanges and humanitarian aid deliveries, is now at risk of collapse. The failure to secure a lasting agreement could reignite violence and escalate the humanitarian crisis in Gaza.

As the situation remains tense, the international community watches closely, hoping for a resolution that will bring peace and stability to the region.


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