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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds Near 80%, Oil Tops US$100, Loonie Hits 5-Week High

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Saturday, October 24, 2026 The Bank of Canada is expected to raise rates on Wednesday, oil is back above US$100 and stocks slipped on AI worries. Here are the five things to know this Saturday, and what each one means for your wallet. 1 The Bank of Canada is widely expected to hike on Wednesday Markets are putting roughly an 80% chance on a quarter-point increase at the Bank of Canada’s Oct. 28 decision, which would lift the policy rate from 2.25% to 2.50%. A majority of economists polled by Reuters also expect a second hike by the end of March. The shift followed hawkish comments from Governor Tiff Macklem about a higher inflation outlook driven by oil. What it means for you Every 0.25-point increase adds about $250 a year (roughly $21 a month) for each $100,000 of prime-linked debt, such as a variable-rate mortgage or HELOC. Fixed-rate holders are not hit directly, but renewals are being priced off higher bond yields. Savers may see HISA and...
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Mark Carney to Contest Nepean Seat in Upcoming Election

Mark Carney, the leader of the Liberal Party and former governor of the Bank of Canada, has announced his candidacy for the Ottawa riding of Nepean in the upcoming federal election. This decision follows the party's recent revocation of Chandra Arya's nomination, who has represented the riding since 2015. Carney's move to run in Nepean places him in close proximity to Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre, who is seeking re-election in the neighboring riding of Carleton. The election is set to take place on April 28, marking a pivotal moment in Canadian politics. 

Carney's candidacy is expected to bring significant attention to the Nepean riding, as he aims to secure a seat in the House of Commons while leading the Liberal Party's campaign.

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