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5 Things to Know Today: US Inflation Day, Canada’s Job Losses and Oil Near $106 | Oct. 14, 2026

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Wednesday, October 14, 2026 Good morning. The biggest number of the day lands at 8:30 a.m. ET, and it could shape where mortgage rates and the loonie go next. Here are the five things worth knowing before you start your day. 1 US inflation report lands at 8:30 a.m. ET September U.S. CPI is the last major inflation reading before the Fed meets Oct. 27–28. Economists expect headline inflation to climb to roughly 3.6%–3.7% from 3.4% in August, a gasoline-driven jump of about 0.6% on the month, while core inflation is seen cooling to around 0.2% month over month. The Fed raised its target range to 3.75%–4.00% on Sept. 16, but September payrolls added just 29,000 jobs, and markets now see roughly a one-in-four chance of another hike in October, with December still largely priced in. What it means for you: A hotter-than-expected print can push bond yields higher, and Canadian fixed mortgage rates follow the 5-year bond. A cooler one eases the pressu...
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Mark Carney to Contest Nepean Seat in Upcoming Election

Mark Carney, the leader of the Liberal Party and former governor of the Bank of Canada, has announced his candidacy for the Ottawa riding of Nepean in the upcoming federal election. This decision follows the party's recent revocation of Chandra Arya's nomination, who has represented the riding since 2015. Carney's move to run in Nepean places him in close proximity to Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre, who is seeking re-election in the neighboring riding of Carleton. The election is set to take place on April 28, marking a pivotal moment in Canadian politics. 

Carney's candidacy is expected to bring significant attention to the Nepean riding, as he aims to secure a seat in the House of Commons while leading the Liberal Party's campaign.

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