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5 Things to Know Today: Canada Enters Recession, Oil Slips on Iran Ceasefire Talk

Saturday, May 30, 2026 — Your quick-hit Canadian financial briefing for the day. 1.Canada Officially Meets the Definition of a Technical Recession Statistics Canada confirmed Friday that real GDP contracted 0.1% on an annualized basis in Q1 2026 — following a revised 1.0% drop in Q4 2025 . That's two straight quarters of negative growth, which meets the technical definition of a recession. The miss was a big one: economists had forecast growth of 1.5% . The main culprits were a surge in imports (up 2.9%, largely gold), declining business capital investment (down 0.7% — its fifth consecutive quarterly drop ), and weakness in resource extraction and construction. On a per-capita basis, GDP actually edged up 0.2% as Canada's population shrank for the second quarter in a row. Not everyone is ready to call it a full recession: some economists note that three of the four weak months were isolated, and early April data points to a sharp 0.4% rebound . Still, the numbers ...

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Mark Carney to Contest Nepean Seat in Upcoming Election

Mark Carney, the leader of the Liberal Party and former governor of the Bank of Canada, has announced his candidacy for the Ottawa riding of Nepean in the upcoming federal election. This decision follows the party's recent revocation of Chandra Arya's nomination, who has represented the riding since 2015. Carney's move to run in Nepean places him in close proximity to Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre, who is seeking re-election in the neighboring riding of Carleton. The election is set to take place on April 28, marking a pivotal moment in Canadian politics. 

Carney's candidacy is expected to bring significant attention to the Nepean riding, as he aims to secure a seat in the House of Commons while leading the Liberal Party's campaign.

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