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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Market Jitters: U.S. Futures Slide Amid Tariff Worries, Tesla Takes a Hit

              

U.S. stock index futures experienced a decline on Monday as concerns over ongoing tariff disputes continued to weigh on investor sentiment. At 7:16 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis dropped 389 points (0.91%), S&P 500 E-minis fell 61 points (1.06%), and Nasdaq 100 E-minis slid 242 points (1.21%). The uncertainty surrounding trade policies, particularly between the U.S., China, and Canada, has fueled fears of a potential economic slowdown.

Mega-cap growth stocks bore the brunt of the sell-off, with Nvidia, Meta, and Amazon.com all seeing premarket declines of over 1.3%. Tesla shares fell 2.4% after UBS lowered its forecast for the automaker's first-quarter deliveries and reduced its price target for the stock.

The broader market also reflected investor caution. Futures tied to the small-cap Russell 2000 index dropped 0.9%, while Treasury bonds saw increased demand as a safe-haven asset. Banking stocks, including JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, and Bank of America, also faced declines, with the broader banks index down over 8% for March.

Adding to the unease, China's retaliatory tariffs on select U.S. imports took effect on Monday, with additional U.S. tariffs on base metals expected later in the week. Investors are closely monitoring these developments, along with upcoming data on inflation, job openings, and consumer confidence, which could provide further insights into the health of the economy.

Tesla's decline highlights the challenges faced by the electric vehicle maker amid bearish forecasts and broader market volatility. The company's stock has been under pressure due to concerns over demand and pricing strategies.



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