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Markets Look Past Rhetoric as Investors Bet on Quick De‑Escalation

A banner of Iran's new supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei with late supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and late supreme leader Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini on a building in Tehran Global markets showed surprising resilience as traders increasingly priced in the possibility that the U.S.–Iran conflict may cool sooner than the heated rhetoric suggests. Despite sharp warnings from both Washington and Tehran, investors appear convinced that neither side is seeking a prolonged confrontation. A Market Leaning Toward Optimism Equities held steady and oil prices eased as traders interpreted recent statements from U.S. officials—including President Trump’s suggestion that the situation could be contained—as signs that diplomacy may still be in play. The market’s reaction reflects a broader belief that both nations have incentives to avoid a drawn‑out conflict that could destabilize the global economy. But Risks Haven’t Disappeared Even with this cautious optimism, investors remain alert...
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Market Momentum: Futures Rise Amid Tariff Uncertainty

U.S. stock futures showed gains early Monday as investors navigated a mix of optimism and caution. The S&P 500 futures climbed 0.5%, while Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.8%, and Dow Jones Industrial Average futures edged up 0.4%. This comes after a volatile February, with markets now bracing for key developments this week.

A major focus is the looming tariff deadlines set for March 4, which could impact trade with Canada, Mexico, and China. While 25% duties are planned, officials have hinted at potential adjustments, leaving markets in a "fluid situation." Investors are also eyeing the Federal Reserve's next meeting and Friday's nonfarm payrolls report, which is expected to show modest job growth with unemployment steady at 4%.

Adding to the mix, cryptocurrencies surged after President Trump announced the inclusion of Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other digital assets in a new U.S. strategic cryptocurrency reserve. This move has sparked significant market activity, with Bitcoin briefly surpassing $94,000.

As the week unfolds, retail earnings from companies like Target and Costco will provide further insights into consumer resilience amid economic uncertainties. Markets remain on edge, balancing hopes for growth against the challenges of global trade and economic policy.

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