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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...

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Market Turmoil: S&P 500 Enters Correction Amid Escalating Trade War

                                                   

The stock market faced a sharp downturn on Thursday, with the S&P 500 officially entering correction territory. The index fell 1.4%, marking a 10% decline from its recent high. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 1.3%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq plummeted nearly 2%.

This market turbulence comes as trade tensions escalate. The European Union's retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods, including a 50% tax on American whiskey, prompted the U.S. administration to threaten a 200% tariff on European wines and spirits. These developments have left investors on edge, fearing the economic repercussions of a prolonged trade war.

Adding to the uncertainty, debates over a stop-gap spending bill to prevent a government shutdown have further rattled market sentiment. Despite cooler-than-expected inflation data, concerns about economic stability and policy unpredictability continue to weigh heavily on Wall Street.

The correction in the S&P 500 underscores the fragility of the current market environment, as investors navigate a landscape fraught with geopolitical and economic challenges.

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