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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Market Turmoil: S&P 500 Enters Correction Amid Escalating Trade War

                                                   

The stock market faced a sharp downturn on Thursday, with the S&P 500 officially entering correction territory. The index fell 1.4%, marking a 10% decline from its recent high. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 1.3%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq plummeted nearly 2%.

This market turbulence comes as trade tensions escalate. The European Union's retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods, including a 50% tax on American whiskey, prompted the U.S. administration to threaten a 200% tariff on European wines and spirits. These developments have left investors on edge, fearing the economic repercussions of a prolonged trade war.

Adding to the uncertainty, debates over a stop-gap spending bill to prevent a government shutdown have further rattled market sentiment. Despite cooler-than-expected inflation data, concerns about economic stability and policy unpredictability continue to weigh heavily on Wall Street.

The correction in the S&P 500 underscores the fragility of the current market environment, as investors navigate a landscape fraught with geopolitical and economic challenges.

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