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Monday’s CPI Could Decide Your Next Mortgage Payment

  Canada lost 68,000 jobs in September. Inflation is sitting at 3%. The Bank of Canada has to decide on October 28 which of those facts matters more, and on Monday morning one more number lands to help it choose. If you carry a variable-rate mortgage, a HELOC or a renewal this winter, that number has a price tag. Two reports pulling in opposite directions The jobs data came first. Statistics Canada reported on October 9 that employment fell by 68,000 in September, pushing the unemployment rate to 6.5% from 6.4%. It followed a drop of about 42,000 in August, which means more than half of the 181,000 jobs gained between April and July have now been wiped out. Ontario shed 20,000 positions on its own. Markets reacted within hours: the odds of a quarter-point Bank of Canada hike on October 28 dropped to roughly 25% from about 40%, according to LSEG data reported by Reuters. Inflation is telling the opposite story. The consumer price index rose 3.0% year over year in August, matching Ju...

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Mexico Prepares for Potential Tariffs with Contingency Plans

Mexico is bracing itself for the possibility of U.S. President Donald Trump imposing tariffs on its goods. President Claudia Sheinbaum assured the public during a press conference that the country is well-prepared with multiple contingency plans, though she refrained from disclosing specific details. "We have a plan B, C, D," Sheinbaum stated, emphasizing Mexico's readiness for any outcome.

The tariff threat stems from U.S. concerns over issues like synthetic drug trafficking and migrant arrivals at its borders. Trump has criticized both Mexico and Canada for not taking stronger action on these matters. In response, Mexican officials recently engaged in diplomatic talks with their U.S. counterparts in Washington, which Sheinbaum described as "cordial" and productive.

While the outcome remains uncertain, Sheinbaum's reassurances highlight Mexico's proactive approach to safeguarding its economy and maintaining strong bilateral relations with the U.S.

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