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June Jobs Report: What It Means for the Bank of Canada's July 15 Decision

  Friday, July 10, 2026 Statistics Canada releases its June Labour Force Survey today, and the timing couldn't matter more. This is the last major economic data point before the Bank of Canada's next interest rate decision on July 15, 2026 — and whichever way the jobs numbers break, they'll shape what happens to borrowing costs for the rest of the summer. What Economists Are Expecting Consensus forecasts point to a modest but positive jobs report. Economists expect Canada added around 10,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.6%. That would follow a much stronger May, when the economy added 88,000 jobs and the unemployment rate actually fell by 0.3 percentage points. In other words, June's report is expected to show a cooling-off after May's surprise strength — not a reversal, but a return to a more modest pace of hiring. Indicator May 2026 June 2026 (Forecast) Net Employment Change +88,000 jobs +10,000 jobs (expected) Unemployment Rate 6....
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Mexico Prepares for Potential Tariffs with Contingency Plans

Mexico is bracing itself for the possibility of U.S. President Donald Trump imposing tariffs on its goods. President Claudia Sheinbaum assured the public during a press conference that the country is well-prepared with multiple contingency plans, though she refrained from disclosing specific details. "We have a plan B, C, D," Sheinbaum stated, emphasizing Mexico's readiness for any outcome.

The tariff threat stems from U.S. concerns over issues like synthetic drug trafficking and migrant arrivals at its borders. Trump has criticized both Mexico and Canada for not taking stronger action on these matters. In response, Mexican officials recently engaged in diplomatic talks with their U.S. counterparts in Washington, which Sheinbaum described as "cordial" and productive.

While the outcome remains uncertain, Sheinbaum's reassurances highlight Mexico's proactive approach to safeguarding its economy and maintaining strong bilateral relations with the U.S.

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