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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...

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Ontario Braces for Freezing Rain: Power Outages and Travel Disruptions Expected

A freezing rain warning has been issued for much of Ontario, including Toronto, as a potent storm is set to hit the region this weekend. Environment Canada predicts the storm will bring varying precipitation, including rain, snow, and freezing rain, depending on temperatures. Ice accumulation of up to 10 millimeters is expected in Toronto, while areas like Parry Sound and Kingston could see upwards of 25 millimeters.

The freezing rain is anticipated to begin Friday evening and persist through Sunday morning. Higher terrain areas may experience prolonged freezing rain due to cooler temperatures. The storm poses risks such as power outages, slippery roads, and broken tree branches. Residents are advised to prepare for potential disruptions and avoid non-essential travel.



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