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Bank of Canada Rate Decision Countdown: What to Expect on July 15

  Published July 4, 2026 In eleven days, the Bank of Canada will make its fifth interest rate call of 2026. If you've got a mortgage renewing, a variable rate that moves with the Bank's decisions, or savings sitting in a high-interest account, this is the date to have circled. Here's where things stand heading into July 15, and what the smart money is expecting. Where the rate sits right now The Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% since its last two decisions, with the Bank Rate at 2.50% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The July 15 announcement, released at 9:45 a.m. ET, will also come with a full Monetary Policy Report, since the Bank publishes its detailed economic projections quarterly alongside the January, April, July, and October decisions. Why most economists expect another hold The case for standing pat comes down to two forces pulling in opposite directions: Inflation is running hot, but mostly for one reason. Canada's headline inflation rate jumped...
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Ontario Premier Ford's Bold Stance Amid U.S. Tariff Tensions

Ontario Premier Doug Ford has issued a strong warning in response to the United States' decision to impose sweeping tariffs on Canadian goods. Speaking at a mining convention in Toronto, Ford threatened to cut off electricity exports to U.S. states like New York, Michigan, and Minnesota if the tariffs proceed. Ontario is a significant electricity supplier to these regions, and Ford emphasized the potential impact of such a move, stating, "They rely on our energy. They need to feel the pain".

The tariffs, announced by U.S. President Donald Trump, include a 25% levy on Canadian goods and a 10% tariff on energy exports. In retaliation, Ford has also proposed additional measures, such as implementing surcharges on energy exports and urging Ontarians to prioritize locally made products. The Premier's remarks come as Canada braces for the economic fallout, with federal and provincial governments preparing coordinated responses to protect industries and workers.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has announced retaliatory tariffs targeting billions of dollars in U.S. exports, signaling Canada's firm stance against the trade measures. As tensions escalate, the situation underscores the interconnectedness of the two nations' economies and the potential consequences of a trade war.

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