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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Russia Awaits Clarity on US-Ukraine Ceasefire Proposal

Russia has expressed caution as it awaits further details on a proposed 30-day ceasefire agreement between the United States and Ukraine. The deal, reached during talks in Saudi Arabia, includes a temporary halt to hostilities along the entire front line, as well as the cessation of missile, drone, and bomb attacks. The agreement also outlines provisions for the release of prisoners and the return of Ukrainian children relocated to Russia.

The United States has resumed military aid and intelligence sharing with Ukraine, signaling its commitment to the ceasefire plan. However, the proposal hinges on Russia's acceptance, with U.S. officials emphasizing that Moscow's cooperation is essential for achieving peace.

While Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has expressed readiness to support the ceasefire, Russian officials remain skeptical. Concerns have been raised about the lack of guarantees accompanying the proposal, with some viewing it as a potential trap that could weaken Russia's position.

The Kremlin has yet to issue an official response, but the international community watches closely as the possibility of a ceasefire brings a glimmer of hope for an end to the prolonged conflict.

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