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5 Things to Know Today: Fed Decision Looms, TSX Slides, Gas Prices Climb (Sept 16)

  Wednesday, September 16, 2026 The Fed's biggest decision in years lands at 2 p.m. ET today, the TSX and loonie are both licking their wounds, and drivers are paying more at the pump despite the gas tax holiday. Here's what's moving your money this morning. 1. The Fed Decides on Rates Today — and a Hike Looks All but Certain The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET, with Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to follow at 2:30 p.m. Markets have priced in over 90% odds of a 25-basis-point hike, which would lift the target range to 3.75%–4.00% from 3.50%–3.75%, where it's sat since December. It would be the first hike of this cycle, driven by inflation still running above target even as the labour market holds up. What it means for you: A Fed hike widens the gap with the Bank of Canada's 2.25% rate, which tends to pressure the loonie lower and nudge Canadian bond yields — and by extension fixed mortgage pricing — upward. Watch for the reaction ...
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Russia Awaits Clarity on US-Ukraine Ceasefire Proposal

Russia has expressed caution as it awaits further details on a proposed 30-day ceasefire agreement between the United States and Ukraine. The deal, reached during talks in Saudi Arabia, includes a temporary halt to hostilities along the entire front line, as well as the cessation of missile, drone, and bomb attacks. The agreement also outlines provisions for the release of prisoners and the return of Ukrainian children relocated to Russia.

The United States has resumed military aid and intelligence sharing with Ukraine, signaling its commitment to the ceasefire plan. However, the proposal hinges on Russia's acceptance, with U.S. officials emphasizing that Moscow's cooperation is essential for achieving peace.

While Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has expressed readiness to support the ceasefire, Russian officials remain skeptical. Concerns have been raised about the lack of guarantees accompanying the proposal, with some viewing it as a potential trap that could weaken Russia's position.

The Kremlin has yet to issue an official response, but the international community watches closely as the possibility of a ceasefire brings a glimmer of hope for an end to the prolonged conflict.

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