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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Starmer Leads Renewed Push for Ukraine Peace at London Summit

 

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer has taken a bold step in the pursuit of peace in Ukraine, hosting a high-stakes summit in London. The gathering brought together leaders from across Europe, NATO, and Ukraine, including Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. The summit's primary focus was to strengthen Europe's role in supporting Ukraine amidst its ongoing conflict with Russia.

Starmer emphasized the importance of European unity and proposed a "coalition of the willing" to expedite peace efforts. This initiative comes in the wake of a tense exchange between Zelensky and U.S. President Donald Trump, which underscored the urgency of finding alternative sources of support for Ukraine. Starmer's plan includes bolstering military aid, providing economic assistance, and ensuring long-term security guarantees for Ukraine.

The summit also highlighted the need for Europe to step up its defense capabilities, with Starmer advocating for a collaborative approach to peacekeeping. As the conflict enters its third year, the London summit marks a critical moment in the global effort to secure a lasting resolution for Ukraine.

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