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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...

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Starmer Leads Renewed Push for Ukraine Peace at London Summit

 

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer has taken a bold step in the pursuit of peace in Ukraine, hosting a high-stakes summit in London. The gathering brought together leaders from across Europe, NATO, and Ukraine, including Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. The summit's primary focus was to strengthen Europe's role in supporting Ukraine amidst its ongoing conflict with Russia.

Starmer emphasized the importance of European unity and proposed a "coalition of the willing" to expedite peace efforts. This initiative comes in the wake of a tense exchange between Zelensky and U.S. President Donald Trump, which underscored the urgency of finding alternative sources of support for Ukraine. Starmer's plan includes bolstering military aid, providing economic assistance, and ensuring long-term security guarantees for Ukraine.

The summit also highlighted the need for Europe to step up its defense capabilities, with Starmer advocating for a collaborative approach to peacekeeping. As the conflict enters its third year, the London summit marks a critical moment in the global effort to secure a lasting resolution for Ukraine.

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