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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Starmer Leads Renewed Push for Ukraine Peace at London Summit

 

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer has taken a bold step in the pursuit of peace in Ukraine, hosting a high-stakes summit in London. The gathering brought together leaders from across Europe, NATO, and Ukraine, including Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. The summit's primary focus was to strengthen Europe's role in supporting Ukraine amidst its ongoing conflict with Russia.

Starmer emphasized the importance of European unity and proposed a "coalition of the willing" to expedite peace efforts. This initiative comes in the wake of a tense exchange between Zelensky and U.S. President Donald Trump, which underscored the urgency of finding alternative sources of support for Ukraine. Starmer's plan includes bolstering military aid, providing economic assistance, and ensuring long-term security guarantees for Ukraine.

The summit also highlighted the need for Europe to step up its defense capabilities, with Starmer advocating for a collaborative approach to peacekeeping. As the conflict enters its third year, the London summit marks a critical moment in the global effort to secure a lasting resolution for Ukraine.

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