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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Starship's Fiery Setback: SpaceX Faces Another Explosion

SpaceX's ambitious Starship program encountered another hurdle as its massive spacecraft exploded during its eighth test flight. The incident occurred shortly after liftoff from the Boca Chica launch site in Texas. The upper stage of the rocket spun uncontrollably before breaking apart, scattering fiery debris over the Caribbean.

This marks the second consecutive failure for the Starship program this year, following a similar mishap during its seventh test flight. Despite these setbacks, SpaceX remains committed to refining the rocket, which is central to Elon Musk's vision of future crewed missions to the Moon and Mars.

The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has launched an investigation into the incident, temporarily halting air traffic in parts of Florida due to concerns over space debris. SpaceX has described the explosion as a "learning opportunity" and plans to implement safety improvements for future launches.

While the Super Heavy booster successfully returned to the launch pad, the failure of the upper stage highlights the challenges of developing cutting-edge space exploration technology. SpaceX continues to push the boundaries, undeterred by these fiery setbacks.

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