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Macklem Just Raised the Inflation Alarm: What Monday’s CPI Means for Your Wallet

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Sunday, October 18, 2026  |  Written ahead of Monday’s 8:30 am ET inflation release Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem has just told Canadians what the central bank is about to say on October 28: its inflation forecast is going up, and by a lot. The reason is oil. With the Middle East conflict dragging on, shipments still curtailed and refinery capacity damaged, he said the risk that inflation broadens and lingers has gone up. Speaking to reporters from Bangkok on Saturday, he framed the coming decision as a simple question: will inflation drift back toward 2% on its own, or does the Bank need to raise rates to nudge it there? Monday is the first real clue. Here is what is landing, what economists expect, and what it could mean for your gas bill, your grocery cart, your heating costs and your mortgage. 3.0% August CPI, year over year 3.2% September consensus (Reuters poll) 2.25% BoC policy rate, unchanged for nearly a year Oct 28 Rat...
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Tensions Escalate: Israel Strikes Lebanon Following Rocket Attacks

In a significant escalation of regional tensions, Israel launched airstrikes on southern Lebanon early Saturday in retaliation for rockets fired into northern Israel. The Israeli military reported intercepting three rockets targeting the town of Metula, marking the first such attack since a fragile ceasefire agreement was reached in November.

The Israeli government has held Lebanon accountable for the incident, with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu instructing the military to act decisively against "dozens of terror targets" in Lebanon. The strikes reportedly targeted Hezbollah positions, though the group has denied involvement in the rocket launches, describing them as "primitive".

Lebanon's Prime Minister Nawaf Salam has urged the military to prevent further escalation, emphasizing the country's desire to avoid a return to war. Meanwhile, the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon expressed alarm over the violence, warning of the potential for serious regional consequences.

This exchange of fire underscores the fragility of the ceasefire and the ongoing challenges in maintaining stability along the Israel-Lebanon border. Both nations face mounting pressure to uphold their commitments under the truce, as the international community watches closely.

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