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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Trump and Putin Set to Discuss Ukraine Ceasefire

Former U.S. President Donald Trump has announced plans to speak with Russian President Vladimir Putin on Tuesday in an effort to negotiate an end to the ongoing war in Ukraine. Speaking aboard Air Force One, Trump expressed optimism about the potential for progress, stating, "We want to see if we can bring that war to an end. Maybe we can, maybe we can't, but I think we have a very good chance".

The discussion is expected to focus on key issues such as territorial disputes and control over power plants, with Trump describing the talks as "dividing up certain assets". This marks a significant diplomatic move as the conflict, now in its third year, continues to devastate Ukraine and strain international relations.

While Trump has faced criticism for his approach to foreign policy, including his perceived affinity for Putin, his efforts to broker peace could serve as a pivotal moment in the conflict. The outcome of the talks remains uncertain, but the world watches closely as the two leaders prepare for this high-stakes conversation.

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