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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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A Pause in Conflict: Putin Declares Ceasefire to Honor WWII Anniversary

In a significant announcement, Russian President Vladimir Putin has declared a three-day ceasefire in the ongoing conflict with Ukraine. The truce, set to take place from May 8 to May 10, coincides with the 80th anniversary of the Soviet Union's victory in World War II. The Kremlin emphasized that all military actions would be suspended during this period and urged Ukraine to follow suit.

This announcement follows a recent Easter ceasefire, which was marred by accusations of violations from both sides. While the gesture appears to signal an interest in peace, skepticism remains high among Ukraine and its allies, who question the sincerity of Russia's intentions.

The ceasefire aligns with Victory Day celebrations, a deeply significant occasion in Russia, commemorating the defeat of Nazi Germany. However, the international community remains cautious, awaiting Ukraine's response and monitoring the truce's implementation.

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