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Markets on Edge as Bank of Canada Decides: TSX, Wall Street, and Oil in Focus — June 10, 2026

  All eyes are on Ottawa this morning. The Bank of Canada is set to release its interest rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET today — and while markets widely expect a hold at 2.25% , the accompanying statement from Governor Tiff Macklem will be dissected for any signal about what comes next. Against a backdrop of volatile oil prices, a recent technical recession, and a still-fragile U.S.–Iran ceasefire, the stakes are higher than usual. Here's where the major markets stand heading into this pivotal session. 🇨🇦 Canada — TSX & the BoC Decision The S&P/TSX Composite has been navigating choppy waters. After a sharp 2.3% decline on June 5 — triggered by a blowout Canadian jobs report that added 88,000 positions, far exceeding forecasts — the index pulled back to trade near the 34,093 range on Tuesday before recovering somewhat to sit just above 34,500 . That jobs print, combined with a similar U.S. surprise, effectively closed the door on any rate cut hopes and forced a reasse...

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Carney and Trump Set to Meet Amid Renewed Diplomatic Focus

 

Prime Minister Mark Carney and U.S. President Donald Trump are preparing for their first in-person meeting following a phone call on Tuesday. The conversation, which came shortly after Carney's election victory, emphasized the importance of Canada and the United States collaborating as independent, sovereign nations. Both leaders agreed to work together for mutual benefit and to meet in the near future.

This meeting comes at a pivotal time, as Carney's government navigates a minority mandate and ongoing trade tensions with the U.S. The discussions are expected to address key issues, including tariffs on Canadian exports and broader economic cooperation.

Carney's victory speech highlighted his commitment to uniting a divided Canada and fostering stronger ties with international partners. The upcoming meeting with Trump will likely set the tone for future Canada-U.S. relations.

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